A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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May 31 2012

Assessing Economic Risks in Canada

In contrast to many countries that are looking for ways to bolster economic growth, the OECD suggests that Canada should now raise their short-term interest rates. However, with mounting uncertainty in Europe and the U.S., and slowing economic growth in China, is this a good idea for an export-dependent economy? Furthermore, worries about a possible Canadian housing bubble are also spreading.

It is in this context that ECRI has just completed an in-depth cyclical analysis of the Canadian economy, providing clear insights about risks to economic growth as well as the future direction of Canadian home prices.

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Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?

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Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More


Rising GDP Doesn't Rule Out Recession

CNN May 11, 2012

Yes, U.S. GDP is still rising, according to the latest reports. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a new recession. More



ECRI June 4, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Oslo to meet with professional members on June 4, 2012.