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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. FIG Rises

U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 101.6 from a revised 100.5 in December, according to data released this morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

The smoothed annualized growth rate, a comparison of the latest figures to the preceding year's average level, climbed to 4.4% from a revised 2.7% in December.

“With the USFIG climbing to a nine-month high, underlying inflation pressures are starting to simmer,” ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.

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