A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

Flashback to an April 2008 interview discussing how ECRI's recession call remained intact despite a rise in stock prices and other data.

Related News & Events

An Ugly Forecast That’s Been Right Before

New York Times October 9, 2011

LET’S face it: economic forecasting is an act of sheer hubris. Which, of course, only incites people to do it. More


ECRI in Toronto

ECRI October 31, 2011

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on October 31, 2011.