A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



In-depth Interview

At 9:00 PM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join Matt Miller on Bloomberg TV's Rewind to discuss how ECRI doesn't use models for forecasting, and why we are in an era of more frequent recessions.

Related News & Events

An Ugly Forecast That’s Been Right Before

New York Times October 9, 2011

LET’S face it: economic forecasting is an act of sheer hubris. Which, of course, only incites people to do it. More


US recession, vicious cycle

Financial Times October 3, 2011

Is the sky really falling? In a business far more forgiving of misguided optimism than the opposite, pundits must be wary of predicting recessions. More