News
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Sep 30 2015
Second Half Capitulation
Some are starting to catch on to the slowdown that ECRI's leading indexes flagged at the start of the year. More
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Sep 25 2015
US Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
U.S. WLI edges up to 132.1, growth rate increases to -1.9%. More
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Sep 23 2015
Double-Digit Imported Deflation
Six years ago — the last time global import price deflation was this intense — the worst global recession in decades was ending. More
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Sep 18 2015
US Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
U.S. WLI ticks up to 131.1, growth rate slips to -2.2%. More
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Sep 18 2015
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates Determined for Japan
New cycle dates for Japan. More
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Sep 16 2015
January Flashback: If not now, when?
Eight months after we asked "if not now, when?" the reality is that growth has been slowing all year. That's a fact, not a forecast. More
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Sep 11 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
U.S. WLI edges up to 131.0, growth rate ticks down to -2.0%. More
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Sep 10 2015
Three Highlights from Bloomberg Interview
Discussing the U.S. slowdown, "full employment," and world export price deflation. More
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Sep 04 2015
The Fed Should Boost Rates, But Not Just Yet
Janet Yellen and Stanley Fischer should listen to vice chair William Dudley – along with St. Augustine. More
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Sep 04 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Declines
U.S. WLI declines to 130.5, growth rate falls to -1.7%. More
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Sep 04 2015
ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises
ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises to 101.9 in Aug. More
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Sep 04 2015
Inflationary Pressures on the Rise in the Euro Zone
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone have inched up. More
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Sep 01 2015
Cheap Labor
The employment/population ratio – which is consistent with stagnant wage growth – may be overstating job market health. More
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