News
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May 29 2015
Global Phenomena Require Global Explanations
Japan, the Eurozone, the U.S., and the U.K., have all been unable to generate any meaningful productivity growth in recent years. More
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May 29 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
U.S. WLI ticks down to 133.7, growth rate slips to 1.4%. More
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May 27 2015
Eurozone Reflation
An upturn in the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge presaged the recent upturn in nominal 10-year Bund yields. More
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May 23 2015
Scoping Out a Phantom Recession
"It's been about as weak as it could be without falling into recession," Mr. Achuthan said. More
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May 22 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Slips
The U.S. WLI slips to 133.9, the growth rate ticks up to 1.5%. More
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May 15 2015
U.S. WLI Ticks Up
The level ticked up to 134.6 from 134.2. The growth rate rose to 1.2% from 0.5%. More
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May 14 2015
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May 13 2015
Draghi is Winning Main QE Battle
It's not just the markets that see more inflation coming. A European Commission survey concurred, while ECRI's gauge of the euro zone inflation outlook rose in March to its highest in 3 /12 years. More
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May 11 2015
ECRI's 2012 U.S. Recession Call Redux
After decades of successful recession and recovery forecasts -- without false alarm -- why was ECRI's September 2011 U.S. recession forecast not followed by a recession? More
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May 11 2015
Oil Price Volatility, Recessions, U.S. Outlook
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV to discuss ECRI's recession call, the implications of oil price volatility, the two-speed economy in the U.S., and more. More
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May 08 2015
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
With the USFIG moving up, underlying inflation pressures have risen a little. More
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May 08 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index remained steady at 134.2 More
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May 08 2015
Oil Price Volatility and Recessions
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss ECRI's recession call and the implications of oil price volatility. More
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May 08 2015
The Greater Moderation
What counts in this fraught environment is not foreboding, but forewarning. More
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May 08 2015
Euro Zone Inflationary Pressures Rising
With the EZFIG climbing to a three-and-a-half year high in March, euro zone inflation is poised to rise further in the coming months. More
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May 01 2015
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Up
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 134.2, growth rate ticked up to -0.1%. More
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