News
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May 30 2014
Cognitive Dissonance at the Fed?
As Fed and CBO trend growth estimates fall to the Fed's 2% recessionary stall speed, how does economy reach escape velocity? More
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May 30 2014
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
The Economic Cycle Research Institute index rose 0.3 point to 135.4 in the May 24 week. More
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May 30 2014
US Money Slump Flashes Warnings as Economy Contracts
The US seems caught in a Japan-style trap, endlessly masking the effect by stealing a little extra growth from the future with artificial stimulus. More
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May 23 2014
Weekly Leading Index Falls
The Weekly Leading Index fell in its latest reading. More
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May 09 2014
Business Insider
Q&A: Where Are We in Economic Cycle?
Exclusive interview with Lakshman Achuthan, including, "What's everyone getting wrong about the state of the economy right now?" and "What's the status of your recession call?" More
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May 06 2014
New Business Cycle Dates for France and Spain
ECRI has determined new business cycle peak and trough dates for France, as well as a business cycle trough date for Spain. More
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May 02 2014
ECRI Future Inflation Gauge Gains
"With the USFIG ticking up to a one-year high, underlying inflation pressures are starting to simmer" More
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May 02 2014
Euro zone inflation pressures remain muted
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone have increased marginally but remain subdued, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed on Friday. More
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May 01 2014
Earnings Growth Upturn Masks Labor Market Weakness
Earnings growth has risen for an unwelcome reason – because growth in hours has fallen faster than pay growth. More
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May 01 2014
Is the U.S. Heading Toward a Deeper Downturn?
The economy's leading indexes were pointing to a slowdown before bad weather hit earlier this year -- but there is much more to the economy's weakness than weather. More
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