News
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Feb 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -4.3%. More
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Feb 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.0%. More
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Feb 06 2019
ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI
Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More
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Feb 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index fell, but its smoothed growth rate recovered to -4.3%. More
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Jan 25 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -5.3%. More
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Jan 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
While ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index level rose, its smoothed growth rate fell further to -6.5%. More
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Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls Again
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines further to -5.3%. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
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Dec 28 2018
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines to -4.4%. More
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Dec 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was unchanged at -3.9%. More
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Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
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Dec 14 2018
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to -3.9%. More
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Dec 13 2018
Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck
Oblivious of the ongoing inflation cycle downturn, the Fed is still navigating “by the stars.” More
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Dec 07 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to -4.1%. More
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Dec 07 2018
Falling Growth in Hours Worked
The slowdown ECRI flagged in the spring is coming into focus. More
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Nov 30 2018
Oil Price Plunge Foretold by Commodity Price Slide
As usual, the recent collapse in oil prices followed a cyclical downturn in industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Nov 30 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to -4.0%. More
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Nov 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to -3.7%. More
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