News
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Sep 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges up to -2.5%. More
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Sep 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls further to -2.9%. More
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Aug 30 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to -2.1%. More
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Aug 23 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to -1.3%. More
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Aug 16 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth declines to -0.5%. More
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Aug 14 2019
Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge
Recession risk is determined not by when the Fed stops rate hikes, but by when it starts a rate cut cycle. More
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Aug 09 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth slips to 0.1%. More
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Aug 01 2019
PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet
ECRI leading index of PMIs predicts cyclical turns in the ISM and Markit U.S. manufacturing PMIs. More
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Jul 31 2019
The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut
The inflation cycle downturn leaves the Fed with no option but to cut rates. More
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Jul 26 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edged up to 0.0%. More
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Jul 19 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth increases to -0.7%. More
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Jul 12 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rises to -1.2%. More
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Jul 05 2019
Great Headlines Mislead On Jobs
The headlines paint an overly rosy picture of the state of the labor market, after having exaggerated last year’s job growth. More
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Jul 05 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth increases to -1.9%. More
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Jun 28 2019
De-Globalization Diagnosis Predated Trade War
De-globalization has been happening for much of this decade, as its roots run much deeper than the trade war. So, while a resolution to trade disputes would be welcome, de-globalization will continue. More
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Jun 28 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges down to -2.4%. More
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Jun 14 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to -1.9%. More
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Jun 07 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index decreases as its growth falls to -1.3%. More
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May 31 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index slips as its growth edges down to -0.3%. More
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May 24 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index falls as its growth ticks down to 0.0%. More
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