News
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Jun 19 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -14.9%. More
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Jun 13 2020
Why a Ruinous Recession and Soaring Stocks Make Perfect Sense
A rising equity market historically leads an upturn in the business cycle. More
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Jun 12 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to -18.5%. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession Started in Feb., But What's Next
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss the dating of recession, and the outlook for a near-term recovery. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession and (Yes) Recovery
Interview on markets and two recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 05 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -22.1%. More
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Jun 04 2020
A Recovery Call that is Still Contrarian
History repeats itself. As ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index points to recovery, the Conference Board’s LEI and the OECD’s CLI keep falling. More
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Jun 04 2020
Two Key Recovery Scenarios and Markets
Interview on recession end, markets and the 2001-03 vs. 2009-10 recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 03 2020
Market’s Make Or Break Moment In One Chart
Drawing parallels to the opposing 2001 and 2009 recoveries. More
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May 29 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to -25.1%. More
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May 27 2020
The Stock Market and Consumer Sentiment Are Telling Different Stories
Stocks have rebounded off March lows, while sentiment is near the lowest level in nearly a decade. More
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May 22 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -28.8%. More
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May 11 2020
The Business Cycle Basics of this Recession
Understanding the depth, diffusion and duration of this downturn. More
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May 08 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -35.9%. More
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May 08 2020
Podcast: The Recession in Context, and the Coming Recovery
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares what cycle research insights tell us about the covid-19 recession, and what’s likely to come next. More
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May 01 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -38.8%. More
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Apr 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -41.9%. More
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Apr 23 2020
The Three D’s and High-Frequency Leading Indicators
We measure recessions with the Three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. Here’s what we are watching for signs of recovery. More
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Apr 22 2020
Interview: Three D's and High-Frequency Data
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. More
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Apr 09 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops to a record low of -37.2%. More
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