News
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Nov 04 2016
U.S. FIG Rises in October
USFIG at 101-month high. "Thus, underlying inflation pressures are still ratcheting up." More
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Oct 07 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
USFIG rose in September to a 99-month high. More
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Sep 02 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Declined in August
USFIG stayed near July's 97-month high in August. More
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Aug 31 2016
Amid Structural Lowflation, World Exports Decline
As we first showed in early 2015, and expanded on this summer, trade continues to languish, with year-over-year global export volume growth slipping back below zero. More
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Aug 05 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
USFIG at a 97-month high in July. More
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Jul 08 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Grows in June
The USFIG rose again to an eight-year high in June. More
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Jun 03 2016
Future Inflation Gauge at 94-mo High
Despite slower growth, underlying inflation pressures are on the rise. More
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May 25 2016
Wage Erosion Resumes
Higher inflation eats away at real wage growth. More
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May 06 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge at 93-month High
The USFIG increased further in April to a 93-month high. More
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Apr 27 2016
U.S. Headed for 'Stagflation-Lite'
Speaking with Simon Constable at Forbes about why "stagflation-lite" is in our future. More
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Apr 26 2016
Stalling or Falling?
Gross Domestic Income has been below 2%, the Fed's estimated "stall speed," for ten of the last 14 quarters. More
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Apr 13 2016
Fed Faces Stagflation Lite
With sluggish U.S. economic growth slowing further, and inflation on the rise, the Fed is faced with "stagflation lite." More
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Feb 05 2016
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Fade
With inflation well below its 2 percent target ceiling, the ECB is expected to cut its deposit rate further into negative territory in March, a Reuters poll found. More
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Dec 04 2015
U.S. Inflation Gauge Slips
While staying a little above its springtime low, the USFIG fell further below its earlier highs. More
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Nov 06 2015
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
While it remains above March's 16-month low, the USFIG is well below its earlier highs. More
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Nov 06 2015
Fading Eurozone Inflation Pressures
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone have faded further, suggesting the European Central Bank's bond-buying programme is having little effect. More
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Oct 15 2015
An Economic Truism: "Recession Kills Inflation"
Lingering lowflation can turn into deflation if recession hits. More
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Oct 02 2015
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Ease
As anticipated by the earlier downturn in the EZFIG, Eurozone inflation has eased lately. More
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Oct 02 2015
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Slips
While staying above March's 16-month low, the USFIG is well below its earlier highs. More
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Sep 23 2015
Double-Digit Imported Deflation
Six years ago — the last time global import price deflation was this intense — the worst global recession in decades was ending. More
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