News
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Dec 03 2004
U.S. Inflation Pressures Elevated
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation increased for a second straight month in November to the highest level since the peak in March. More
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Nov 17 2004
U.S. Current Account Deficit Woes
The U.S. won't be getting help anytime soon from its friends when it comes to slimming its current account deficit. More
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Nov 05 2004
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
A leading index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation increased in October after a downward-revised decrease in September. More
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Sep 21 2004
Rose Colored Glasses Cloud 'Soft Patch'
Production, employment, sales and income data started coming in much weaker than expected this summer. More
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Aug 23 2004
A Choice of Two Head Fakes
The recent economic weakness in the U.S. isn't a temporary anomaly before a return to robust growth, but a cyclical slowdown in the economy's growth rate, says the Economic Cycle Research Institute. More
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Aug 12 2004
Oil Takes Shine Off IMF Upgrades
Getting an economic upgrade from the IMF may turn out to be like landing on the cover of Sports Illustrated: a feather in your cap, but also a sign trouble may lie ahead. More
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Aug 02 2004
No Recession, but Growth Downshifting
After a June that was decidedly on the sluggish side, economists are dissecting major U.S. data this week to reassure themselves July was different. More
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Jul 20 2004
Pace of U.S. Expansion Downshifting?
Weak economic data for June suggest economic growth is either pausing or shifting down a gear, making the economic omens for July especially important. More
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Jun 04 2004
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation increased slightly in May after a pronounced decline in April. More
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May 18 2004
Business Cycle Still Alive and Useful
Economic forecasting has had a checkered past, especially when it comes to nailing cyclical turning points - the beginnings and ends of recessions. More
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May 07 2004
U.S. FIG Dips in April
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation decreased for the first time in four months in April. More
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Apr 27 2004
For Pessimists, Worries Die Hard
Despite the optimism abounding about the U.S. recovery, there are still economic bears around these parts. More
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Apr 07 2003
Recovery Stronger than '91-'92
An objective reading of the best-known barometers of the U.S. economy - the jobless rate and gross domestic product growth - shows the current 'jobless recovery' to be stronger than the last recovery. More
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Mar 28 2003
Ambiguity vs. Downturn
Sometimes an ambiguous economic outlook is better than a clear one if the alternative only offers a negative outcome. More
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Oct 20 2002
Leaders' Rule Of Thumb
Rules of thumb are easy to use and even easier to misuse. More
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Sep 22 2002
Consumer Confidence Effect
Consumer Confidence Effect - Business Sags More
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Aug 20 2002
Success in Timing Cycles
ECRI Finds Success In Effort To Time Cycles More
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Aug 20 2002
Leading Housing Price Index
Economic Forecast Group ECRI Sees No Housing Bubble, Yet More
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Jul 10 2002
Inflation or Deflation
The producer price index for June was as benign as expected, so, there's no reason to worry about inflation, right? More
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Jul 01 2002
JOC-ECRI Price Index Shows Recovery
A broad-based surge in sensitive industrial prices is providing an unambiguous sign of industrial revival, according to ECRI. More
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