News
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Apr 29 2009
Recession End in Sight
ECRI's Achuthan talks with CBS about why ECRI expects the U.S. recession to end this year, probably by the end of the summer. More
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Apr 25 2009
Business Week
Upturn Ahead?
An index developed decades ago by the independent Economic Cycle Research Institute suggests the economy may recover before year end. More
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Apr 24 2009
WLI Growth at 27-Week High
A weekly measure of U.S. future economic growth remained unchanged, while its annualized growth rate rose to levels last seen in early October 2008. More
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Apr 22 2009
Green Shoots or Yellow Straw?
ECRI's Achuthan spoke with ABC's Nightline about how ECRI leading indexes help put "green shoots" of less-bad economic data into context. More
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Apr 18 2009
Levy Economics Institute
What Does a Growth Rate Cycle Upturn Look Like?
A link to the presentation slides from Lakshman's talk at the 18th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference. More
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Apr 17 2009
WLI Growth at 25-Week High
A weekly measure of U.S. future economic growth slipped, while its annualized growth rate climbed to levels last seen in October 2008. More
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Apr 03 2009
WLI Edges Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up and its annualized growth rate reached a 23-week high. More
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Mar 27 2009
WLI Growth at 21-Week High
A weekly measure of U.S. future economic growth climbed along with its annualized growth rate, indicating signs of a smoother economic recovery. More
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Mar 20 2009
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week while its annualized growth rate steadied, indicating that economic conditions are beginning to stabilize. More
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Mar 12 2009
MSN Money
WLI Stabilizing?
There was a flicker of good news in February, when the Economic Cycle Research Institute's Weekly Leading Index rose for the first time in six weeks. More
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Mar 06 2009
U.S. Recession Has Not Yet Hit Bottom
A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped to a fresh 14-year low in the latest week, indicating the recession has yet to hit a trough. More
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Mar 06 2009
US Inflation Pressures Lowest Since June 1958
U.S. inflation pressures fell in February to a fresh 50-year low, indicating consumer prices may decline further. More
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Mar 03 2009
Will recession become something worse?
Today’s economic indicators don’t project a depression. More
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Feb 27 2009
WLI at New 13-Year Low
A measure of U.S. future economic growth fell to a 13-year low, indicating economic recovery is nowhere in sight. More
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Feb 23 2009
Deficit Strategy Depends on Business Cycle
Some economists doubt President Obama will be able to meet his goal of cutting the nation's deficit in half by the end of his first term. More
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Feb 21 2009
Model Forecasts, and to Stimulate or Not
ECRI's Achuthan was on CNN today discussing the CBO's forecast of unemployment declines after a year or two and how stimulus interacts with the business cycle. More
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Feb 20 2009
WLI Remains Near Cyclical Low
A measure of U.S. future economic growth rose in the latest week along with its annualized growth rate, though the economy remains far from recovery. More
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Feb 13 2009
Business Cycle Recovery Remains Elusive
A measure of U.S. future economic growth slipped further along with its annualized growth rate in the latest week, indicating a hazy reading of economic recovery, a research group said on Friday. More
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Feb 12 2009
Business Week
Signs of a Difficult Spring
Indicators show the recession is still a ways off from the worst-case scenario. More
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Feb 08 2009
Supply-Side Hit to T-Bonds
Treasury yields are on the rise. Debit that! More
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