News
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Nov 30 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to -4.0%. More
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Nov 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to -3.7%. More
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Nov 12 2018
Construction Crumbling
A decisive deterioration in the construction sector outlook has occurred in the context of the worrisome downturn in home price growth. More
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Nov 08 2018
Interview Updating Market Correction Call
The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More
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Nov 02 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to -1.4%. More
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Oct 26 2018
Debt Alarm Ringing
The combined debt of the US, Eurozone, Japan, and China has increased more than ten times as much as their combined GDP growth over the past year. More
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Oct 26 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to -0.4%. More
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Oct 25 2018
Is The U.S. Economy Slowing?
If the U.S. economy is slowing, who is going to be blamed? More
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Oct 24 2018
Economic Cycles & Stock Price Corrections
With at least one equity price correction during every economic slowdown, knowing where you are in the economic cycle is critical to managing portfolio risk. More
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Oct 23 2018
Damned Lies and Statistics
With GDP growth over 4% and the jobless rate under 4% people feel pretty good, but the last two times we saw this combination, in 2000 and way back in 1969, a recession was less than a year away. More
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Oct 23 2018
U.S. Not Immune to Global Slowdown
The U.S. economy is not as resilient as the headlines suggest, as a number of cycle downturns become clear, including home price growth and broad inflation. More
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Oct 22 2018
Radio Interview: ECRI’s Home Price Downturn Call
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg Opinion Radio to discuss "Housing Market Is Raising Serious Red Flags." More
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Oct 19 2018
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to 0.1%. More
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Oct 15 2018
Housing Market Is Raising Serious Red Flags
Real home price growth looks to have already entered a cyclical downturn that is likely to intensify as affordability worsens. More
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Oct 12 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to 0.6%. More
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Oct 03 2018
Home Price Growth Downturn
Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss ECRI’s home price downturn call, the wealth effect, and borrowing vs. growth. More
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Sep 04 2018
ECRI on EM vs. U.S. Growth
Bloomberg TV discussion about how emerging market weakness fits into ECRI’s public global cyclical outlook, including the U.S., and monetary policy. More
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Aug 31 2018
Will the Flattening Yield Curve Lead to Recession?
In contrast to the latest robust GDP readings, ECRI’s broader U.S. Coincident Index is below last October’s peak. More
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Aug 31 2018
Managing the Risk of Equity Corrections
ECRI's Achuthan on CNBC to discuss how equity correction risk rises during cyclical slowdowns in economic growth. More
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Jul 27 2018
Trump Cheers ’Amazing’ Economic Growth as Economists Caution It Could Be a Blip
"The bottom line takeaway is that this growth is not sustainable and it will slow in the second half of the year," said Lakshman Achuthan. More
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