News
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May 08 2017
Wage Growth Widely Misunderstood
Addressing the paradox of falling wage growth as the economy accelerates. More
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May 02 2017
Near-term Pop, Long-term Drop
Pre-election U.S. cycle upturn is holding, but a different cyclical downturn is coming into focus. More
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Apr 19 2017
Levy Economics Institute
"America First" in Perspective
Presentation slides & notes presented at this week's Minsky conference. More
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Apr 05 2017
'Ancient History' Cannot Deny Cycle Upturn
People still conflate old news on structural problems with the cyclical outlook. More
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Mar 16 2017
New Cycle Dates Determined for Russia and Australia
New Russian and Australian cycle dates. More
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Mar 15 2017
Fed Not Crying Wolf
In early 2017 many expected the Fed to, yet again, over-promise and under-deliver on rate hikes. ECRI warned otherwise. More
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Mar 10 2017
Interview on U.S. Jobs, Fed & ECB
Lakshman Achuthan's Reuters interview on U.S. Jobs, the Fed and ECB. More
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Mar 08 2017
Cyclical Outlook Good, But Sustained 3-4% GDP Growth Unlikely
Interview highlights on near-term outlook, and specific items that need to improve for faster sustained growth. More
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Mar 06 2017
ECB Mistaking Structural for Cyclical
In sustaining massive amounts of QE, the ECB overlooks the reality that much of the labor market's problems are structural. More
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Feb 23 2017
How Reliable Are GDP Consensus Forecasts?
With President Trump in office, economists have been revising their GDP growth forecasts for 2017. More
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Feb 14 2017
Financial Sense
U.S. Economy Experiencing Growth Upturn
After two years of slowing economic growth, leading indicators for the US have decisively turned upwards. More
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Jan 26 2017
Cutting Through the Confusion
Following the election, ECRI's unique perspective helped cut through the confusion about the state of the economy among mainstream economists. More
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Jan 13 2017
2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook
Cycle calls for inflation and growth extend into New Year. More
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Jan 05 2017
Interview on Cyclical Growth & Inflation Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan discusses cyclical prospects for the global economy. More
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Dec 23 2016
Pinching Productivity
A sustained boost to GDP growth requires productivity-enhancing investment that looks to be missing from CEOs' plans. More
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Dec 20 2016
Who Picked Trump? Mrs. White, in the Kitchen, Sorting Bills: The Economy, Stupid
When the data are reviewed, it doesn't take wild conspiracy theories to see why Trump won. It was the economy. More
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Dec 01 2016
Sustained 3 to 4% GDP Growth Is A Huge Stretch
We'd need double the productivity growth of the Reagan years. More
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Nov 14 2016
2-Year U.S. Downward Growth Mode Won't Turn On A Dime
U.S. economic growth outlook, inflation prospects, and Fed rate hike. More
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Nov 14 2016
Plunging Predictions
The five-year-ahead GDP growth forecast for the U.S. is approaching that of the Eurozone, just 1½ % per the IMF. More
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Nov 10 2016
No, A Global Recession Isn't Imminent
Pundits who claim Trump's victory will augur in instant economic disaster are wrong. More
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