News
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Jan 25 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -5.3%. More
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Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
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Jan 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
While ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index level rose, its smoothed growth rate fell further to -6.5%. More
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Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls Again
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines further to -5.3%. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 28 2018
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines to -4.4%. More
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Dec 21 2018
"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss the ongoing cyclical downturns in economic growth and inflation, and future Fed rate hikes. More
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Dec 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was unchanged at -3.9%. More
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Dec 20 2018
A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market
5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More
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Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
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Dec 14 2018
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to -3.9%. More
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Dec 07 2018
Global Slowdown,Trade War and the Fed’s Belated Blink
ECRI's Achuthan discusses the ongoing economic slowdown and inflation cycle downturn that the consensus is now catching up to. More
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Dec 07 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to -4.1%. More
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Nov 30 2018
Oil Price Plunge Foretold by Commodity Price Slide
As usual, the recent collapse in oil prices followed a cyclical downturn in industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Nov 30 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to -4.0%. More
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Nov 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to -3.7%. More
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Nov 12 2018
Construction Crumbling
A decisive deterioration in the construction sector outlook has occurred in the context of the worrisome downturn in home price growth. More
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Nov 08 2018
Interview Updating Market Correction Call
The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More
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Nov 02 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to -1.4%. More
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