News
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Jun 05 2020
Employment Dives Followed by Solid Uptick
The question is when that virtuous cycle will begin to gain traction. This is where good leading indexes – not politics, epidemiology, or therapeutics – are critical to watch. More
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May 08 2020
Fastest Job Loss Ever
Eventually, the hemorrhaging of jobs will be stanched, and employment will start rising. But even that would be far from enough for things to start feeling better. More
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Jan 13 2020
Interview on Jobs and Markets
Growth in total hours worked has slowed to its weakest reading since 2010. More
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Sep 24 2019
The U.S. Jobs Slowdown is Important
U.S. jobs growth, already at an 8-year low, will keep falling, undermining consumer spending. More
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Sep 06 2019
Hiring Cooled in August, The Latest in a Long Line of Data Indicating Trump’s Trade War is Starting to Bite
The unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent. More
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Sep 05 2019
Jobs Growth Prospects Dim
Leading Employment Index growth, which nailed the current jobs slowdown, has fallen sharply. More
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Jul 08 2019
Monthly Jobs Surveys May Overshoot Gains
Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Radio to discuss ECRI's latest opinion piece. More
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Jul 05 2019
Great Headlines Mislead On Jobs
The headlines paint an overly rosy picture of the state of the labor market, after having exaggerated last year’s job growth. More
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Jul 05 2019
The Myth of the Tight U.S. Labor Market
Jobs growth is substantially slower than the headline employment data indicate. More
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Dec 07 2018
Falling Growth in Hours Worked
The slowdown ECRI flagged in the spring is coming into focus. More
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Sep 07 2018
Interview on Jobs Report, Wage Growth & Trade Sanctions
Achuthan discussed jobs report and how wage growth rising is consistent with a stealth slowdown in economic growth. Trade sanctions are also discussed. More
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Aug 03 2018
Outsized Gains for Least Educated Limits Wage Growth
The Employment/Population ratio for those without a high school diploma has never been higher. More
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Jul 06 2018
Jobs Report, GDP, and the Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joined Reuters TV to discuss the jobs report, including the employment/population ratio, as well as industrial commodities, GDP and the Fed. More
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May 04 2018
Jobs Report: Good & Bad News
Reuters talks with ECRI's Achuthan about slowing jobs growth. More
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Apr 09 2018
The Dog that Didn't Bark
Unemployment is flat, yet it should be falling if the economy is as strong as most assume. More
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Mar 09 2018
Jobless Rate Consistent with Slowdown
The unemployment rate has been drifting up, conforming to the economic slowdown that ECRI flagged earlier. More
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Feb 02 2018
Up is Down: Jump in AHE Growth Confirms Economic Slowdown
January wage growth jumped for an unwelcome reason: growth in hours fell faster than pay growth. More
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Jul 07 2017
Reuters: Jobs, Wages & the Fed
The Future Inflation Gauge does not use the Philips curve, or extrapolation. More
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Jun 02 2017
Jobs and the Fed
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talking jobs and the Fed on Reuters' Trading at Noon. More
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May 05 2017
Jobs Data in Cyclical Perspective
Healthy jobs report fits with upturn in economic growth flagged by ECRI months ago. More
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