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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Feb 21 2010

    Unemployed Face Years Without Jobs

    "...During periods of American economic expansion in the 1950s, ’60s and ’70s, the number of private-sector jobs increased about 3.5 percent a year, More

  • Feb 19 2010

    Rate Hike Timing

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss implications of the Fed's hike of the Discount Rate. Lakshman's comments run from minute 3:20 to 6:25. More

  • Feb 19 2010

    U.S. Econ Expansion to Ease Off by Mid-Year

    A forward-looking measure of U.S. economic growth slipped further in the latest week, More

  • Feb 12 2010

    2009 Recession End Date Determined for Germany

    We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for Germany. More

  • Feb 12 2010

    U.S. Growth to Throttle Back by Mid-Year

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth slipped further in the latest week as its yearly growth rate continued to dip from record highs, More

  • Feb 08 2010

    Near-term good, longer-term tough

    Lakshman talks with CNN Money about near-term jobs growth (good) and longer-term challenges (bad). More

  • Feb 06 2010

    Your $$$$$ Interview

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins CNN's Your $$$$$ to discuss the latest jobs data, and a broader discussion on policy and the timing of Fed interest rate moves. The show airs at 1:00 PM (ET) on Saturday More

  • Feb 06 2010

    Fiscal and Monetary Policy

    ECRI's Achuthan joined a panel discussion on jobs, fiscal policies and monetary policy. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs on Cusp of Growth

    ECRI contributed to CBS coverage of the jobs report today. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs will grow in 2010, but then what?

    Despite modest January job losses the good news for job seekers is that after a brutal recession that swallowed stimulus packages whole with barely a burp, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Interviews on Jobs Report

    On Friday ECRI's Achuthan will appear on the following programs to discuss where we are in the business cycle recovery and the latest jobs data. 6:05 AM -- CNBC 8:35 AM -- CNN 9:30 AM -- FBN More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Markets, the Economy & Jobs

    ECRI’s Achuthan joined Squawk Box early this morning to discuss markets & jobs. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs Report Review

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNN right after the jobs numbers were released this morning to offer some cyclical perspective. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs Recovery Continues

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins Stuart Varney to discuss the latest jobs report. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    WLI Growth Down, Double Dip Unlikely

    A future U.S. economic growth gauge slipped in the latest week, and its yearly growth rate remained at levels reached in August 2009, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    U.S. Inflation Pressures Begin to Mount

    A monthly gauge of U.S. inflation pressures rose for the tenth straight month in January, indicating a steady rise in prices in the coming months, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    EZ Inflation Pressures Ease Slightly

    Inflationary pressures in the euro area eased slightly in December but remained near November's 11-month high, More

  • Feb 04 2010

    Cycles and Euro Credit Risk

    ECRI's Banerji talks with NDTV about the Eurozone credit issues and the business cycle. More

  • Feb 03 2010

    Interview with Bloomberg

    ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Radio's Tom Keene this morning about what's shaping up as a "textbook" recovery. More

  • Feb 03 2010

    China vs. U.S.

    ECRI's Achuthan joined CNN this morning to discuss the rising U.S. deficit and how it impacts the influence of the U.S. globally. More

Testimonial

ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
- The Economist
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
- ECRI Professional Member
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
           

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