frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Apr 23 2008

    President Says U.S. not in Recession

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan, spoke with CNN's Ali Velshi about President Bush's view that the U.S. is not in recession, and how policy has missed a chance to avert More

  • Apr 21 2008

    Choosing Recession

    The 2008 recession guarantees many months of job losses that will boost foreclosures and feed the credit crisis. More

  • Apr 18 2008

    Weekly Leading Index Rises

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth and its annualized growth rate both rose in the latest week. More

  • Apr 18 2008

    Earnings Reports & the Business Cycle

    ECRI's managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, went on Fox Business to talk about the latest earnings reports in the context of recent market action and the overall business cycle. More

  • Apr 16 2008

    Video: Review of Beige Book

    ECRI managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, discussed the Fed's Beige Book release. More

  • Apr 11 2008

    Weekly Leading Index Higher

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth and its annualized growth rate were both slightly higher in the latest week but still point to recession. More

  • Apr 06 2008

    What to Watch for Recovery

    This weekend ECRI's Achuthan, appeared on CNN's Your $$$$$ to discuss the job market, recession and objective signs to watch for where we go from here. More

  • Apr 04 2008

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up

    U.S. inflation pressures ticked up in March but remain near a four-year low. More

  • Apr 04 2008

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth and its annualized growth rate were lower in the latest week. More

  • Apr 04 2008

    Euro Inflation Pressures at 7 1/2 Year High

    Euro zone inflationary pressures hit a seven and a half year high in February. More

  • Apr 02 2008

    Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

    ECRI's managing director, Lakshman Achuthan appeared on CNBC's Squawk Box this morning. More

  • Mar 31 2008

    Delayed Policy Puts US In Recession

    The U.S. economy is headed for recession despite recent policy efforts to avert that outcome, says an economic research institute that closely follows business cycles. More

  • Mar 31 2008

    A Golden Opportunity Missed

    The opportunity to forestall a recession will have passed by the time government efforts take effect. More

  • Mar 28 2008

    A Recession of Choice

    The U.S. economy is now on a recession track. Yet this is a recession that could have been averted. More

  • Mar 28 2008

    Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth ticked up in the latest week. More

  • Mar 28 2008

    Consumer Data Shows Lost Opportunity

    ECRI's managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, spoke with Fox Business about the latest data on consumer spending and how it reinforces both the notion that we're locked onto the recession track and More

  • Mar 26 2008

    A Missed Opportunity

    Wednesday, after the market close, ECRI managing director, Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Simon Constable. More

  • Mar 25 2008

    Int'l Impact of U.S. Recession

    To use a common rhetorical question in economics - when the US economy sneezes does the world still catch a cold or has the rest of the world broken its dependency on the US motor? More

  • Mar 21 2008

    U.S. Recession as Rebate Checks Too Tardy

    An increasing number of economists and politicians have been debating whether the U.S. is in a recession or not. One of the leading forecasting groups, however, says the recession is most definitely c More

  • Mar 20 2008

    WLI Shows US Economy in Recession

    The U.S. economy is "unambiguously" in a recession, a research group said on Thursday. More

Testimonial

ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
- ECRI Professional Member
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline