A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Mar 06 2010

    Your $$$$$ Interview

    ECRI's Achuthan joins CNN's Your $$$$$ this weekend at 1pm on Saturday and 3pm Sunday (ET) to discuss why there is a sharper jobs recovery than in the past two recoveries, yet we still have 40% of the More

  • Mar 06 2010

    Your $$$$$ Part 1

    ECRI's Achuthan discusses how the jobs rate has peaked, even though 40% of unemployed not regaining lost jobs. More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Jobs Report Reaction

    ECRI's Achuthan joined CNN minutes after the jobs number were released this morning to discuss how they relate to the business cycle. More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Jobs and Recovery

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the bigger picture on jobs and the recovery. More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Squawk Box on Jobs

    ECRI's Achuthan breaks down unemployment trends. More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Unemployment Rate Steady At 9.7%

    Snowicane? Schmoicane! The BLS report is out and despite whispers of horrible numbers due to February storms along the East coast (over 1 million workers didn’t work in February due to bad weather; More

  • Mar 05 2010

    U.S. Expansion to Ease Come Summer

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week, while its yearly growth gauge hit a 30-week low, More

  • Mar 05 2010

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Falls

    A monthly measure of U.S. inflation pressures dipped in February after rising for 10 straight months, More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Friday Media Appearances

    On Friday morning ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan will appear on CNBC, WNYC radio and CNN to discuss the state of the recovery and the latest jobs figures (all times eastern). More

  • Mar 05 2010

    Eurozone Inflation Simmers

    Inflationary pressures in the euro area crept up in January, indicating a cyclical upswing in prices, More

  • Mar 03 2010

    Rodney Dangerfield Recovery

    ECRI's Achuthan discusses how the recovery gets no respect, and why there are likely to be more frequent recessions in the coming decade. More

  • Mar 03 2010

    Upcoming Bloomberg TV

    Today at 10:14 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be a guest on Bloomberg TV to discuss why this is the "Rodney Dangerfield" recovery, and other business cycle insights. More

  • Mar 01 2010

    Asia and U.S. Outlook

    ECRI's Anirvan Banerji spoke with NDTV about India, China and the stronger than acknowledged U.S. economic recovery. More

  • Feb 28 2010

    Economic Status Report

    ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Anthony Mason on Sunday Morning about the status of the economic recovery, More

  • Feb 27 2010

    Long-term joblessness off the charts

    ECRI's Achuthan spoke with CBS News about the structural job losses that won't be regained. More

  • Feb 26 2010

    U.S. Economic Growth to Easy by Mid-Year

    A forward-looking measure of U.S. economic growth was unchanged in the latest week, More

  • Feb 21 2010

    Unemployed Face Years Without Jobs

    "...During periods of American economic expansion in the 1950s, ’60s and ’70s, the number of private-sector jobs increased about 3.5 percent a year, More

  • Feb 19 2010

    Rate Hike Timing

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss implications of the Fed's hike of the Discount Rate. Lakshman's comments run from minute 3:20 to 6:25. More

  • Feb 19 2010

    U.S. Econ Expansion to Ease Off by Mid-Year

    A forward-looking measure of U.S. economic growth slipped further in the latest week, More

  • Feb 12 2010

    2009 Recession End Date Determined for Germany

    We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for Germany. More


I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
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