A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jun 18 2010

    Yahoo Finance: WLI

    On Friday morning ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will talk with Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about the decline in Weekly Leading Index. More

  • Jun 18 2010

    Austria Business Cycle Trough Determined

    ECRI has determined that the Austrian recession ended in June of 2009. More

  • Jun 11 2010

    No Recession Yet

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNBC about why it's premature to forecast recession based on the sharp but fairly short decline in the Weekly Leading Index. More

  • Jun 11 2010

    WLI Drops, But No Double-Dip Yet

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute today offered up its view of last week’s “weekly leading indicators,” More

  • Jun 05 2010

    Extended Interview on Jobs

    Extended interview with Nightly News about jobs both in the near and long term. More

  • Jun 04 2010

    Reviewing the Jobs Data

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Stuart Varney and panel about today's jobs report. More

  • Jun 04 2010

    WLI Growth Drops Again

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 43-week low in the latest week, More

  • Jun 04 2010

    U.S. Inflation Gauge Falls To Five-Month Low

    A monthly measure of U.S. inflation pressures fell to a five-month low in May as commodity price pressures ebbed, More

  • Jun 04 2010

    Jobs Report Preview

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Squawk Box for a 6:10 AM (ET) discussion about jobs and slowing growth ahead. More

  • Jun 04 2010

    Jobs Day Interviews

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will appear in the following interviews on Friday regarding the jobs report (all times eastern): 6:05 AM CNBC TV 8:40 AM WNYC Radio 9:30 AM Fox Business News 11:30 More

  • Jun 04 2010

    Jobs Data Analysis

    ECRI's Achuthan talks with Bloomberg TV. More

  • Jun 03 2010

    Cyclical View of Jobs

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with NBR about cyclical and non-cyclical job market trends. More

  • Jun 01 2010

    Commodities’ Biggest Drop Since Lehman

    The biggest slump in commodities since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed is undermining Wall Street forecasts More

  • Jun 01 2010

    NYT Roubini Article, IMF Transcript

    The August 16 issue of the New York Times magazine included an article about Nouriel Roubini written by Stephen Mihm, More

  • May 28 2010

    WLI Growth Tumbles

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 39-week low in the latest week, More

  • May 22 2010

    U.S. Growth Throttling Back

    Last spring ECRI declared the recession would end by summer. More

  • May 21 2010

    WLI Growth at 43-Week Low

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 35-week low in the latest week, More

  • May 14 2010

    WLI Growth at 40-Week Low

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a four-week low in the latest week while its annualized growth rate hit a 40-week low, More

  • May 11 2010

    Why ECRI is different

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses how ECRI's approach relates to the broader economic forecasting field in this extended More

  • May 10 2010

    A Stitch in Time

    Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Stuart Varney this morning about how bad policy timing is largely to blame for the big-ticket bank bailout announced in Europe over the weekend, More

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In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
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This approach works like a charm.
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Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
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[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
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