A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Oct 05 2011

    Explaining the Recession Call

    The U.S. recovery wasn’t much to begin with, and now it’s dead. More

  • Oct 04 2011

    Double-Dip or New Recession?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Anthony Mason about ECRI's new U.S. recession call. More

  • Oct 04 2011

    Interview on Outlook

    Lakshman Achuthan will talk with Bloomberg Radio's Kathleen Hayes about the cyclical outlook. More

  • Oct 03 2011

    New Recession Call

    Lakshman Achuthan discussed ECRI's recent recession call with Ali Velshi on American Morning. More

  • Oct 03 2011

    US recession, vicious cycle

    Is the sky really falling? In a business far more forgiving of misguided optimism than the opposite, pundits must be wary of predicting recessions. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    Recession Can't be Averted

    Lakshman Achuthan talks with The Wall Street Journal about ECRI's new recession call. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    It's Going to Get Worse

    Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo Finance about ECRI new recession call. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    Squawk Box Interview

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC's Squawk Box at 6:10 AM (ET) to discuss the recession call that ECRI announced today. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    A New Recession

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene about the new recession. More

  • Sep 24 2011

    Recall Last May

    "As if to underline the Fed's downbeat assessment (which was echoed by the International Monetary Fund), the Economic Cycle Research Institute's U.S. weekly leading indicator has deteriorated. More

  • Sep 23 2011

    WLI Slips

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators is still, you guessed it, pointing in the wrong direction. More

  • Sep 19 2011

    Cycles & Current Events

    ECRI's Achuthan discusses current events from ECRI's cyclical vantage point. More

  • Sep 18 2011

    Skating on Thin Ice

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with NPR's All Things Considered about the risk of recession and the jobs challenge that predated the recession. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    New Recession Risk

    Last year economist Lakshman Achuthan said he thought the United States had emerged from the depths of a recession, but today the picture looks a bit more grim. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    WLI Falls

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators continues to trot in the wrong direction, down. More

  • Sep 11 2011

    Serious recession threat for U.S.

    New York-based Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) tracks some 20 large economies contributing about 80% of the world GDP. More

  • Sep 10 2011

    Interview on Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be interviewed on All Things Considered this weekend at 5:00 PM (ET). More

  • Sep 09 2011

    WLI Ticks Up, but Growth Weakens

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth ticked higher in the latest week. More

  • Sep 06 2011

    Update on Jobs Outlook

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Fox Business this morning to discuss the cyclical outlook, including jobs. More

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ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
"penetrating analysis"
- The New York Times
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member

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