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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • May 28 2011

    Flat Spain a Risk

    "...The Economic Cycle Research Institute's long leading indicator for Spain, which leads business cycle turns by about a year, peaked in March 2007. More

  • May 27 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell slightly in the latest week. More

  • May 18 2011

    Global Industrial Growth to Slow Soon

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo Finance's Aaron Task about the coming global industrial slowdown. More

  • May 18 2011

    Cruel Summer?

    A global summer slowdown looms as a leading indicator of factory activity has turned down. More

  • May 13 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • May 06 2011

    Growth to Peak for Global Industrial Sector

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene about the jobs data, and the impending global industrial slowdown. More

  • May 06 2011

    Discussing Jobs Report

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan relates today's jobs report to where we are in the business cycle, and where were are headed. More

  • May 06 2011

    Global Industrial Growth Downturn

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC this morning to discuss the impending downturn in global industrial growth. More

  • May 06 2011

    Squawk Box Interview

    On May 6 morning at 6:10 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNBC's Squawk Box to discuss the latest developments in ECRI's indicators. More

  • May 06 2011

    U.S. FIG Drops

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in April, as the U.S. future inflation gauge slid to 102.8 from a revised 104.7 in March. More

  • May 06 2011

    EZ FIG at 30-month high

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 30-month high in March. More

  • May 06 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week to its weakest level in three months. More

  • Apr 25 2011

    Near-term good, but don't extrapolate!

    Lakshman talks with Gerri Willis about near-term and longer term cyclical risks for the U.S. economy. More

  • Apr 21 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week to its highest level in nearly a year. More

  • Apr 15 2011

    The latest inflation data

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Fox Business News about the latest CPI data update, with a focus on the core rate of inflation. More

  • Apr 15 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    The Fed's problem is knowing when to move

    Early Friday morning Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs report, and how the Fed is hampered by the Output Gap, Core Inflation and even inflation expectations. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    How low can unemployment go?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the decline in unemployment. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose slightly in the latest week. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    Euro price pressures at 29-mth high

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 29-month high in February. More

Testimonial

ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
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