A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Feb 19 2010

    Rate Hike Timing

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss implications of the Fed's hike of the Discount Rate. Lakshman's comments run from minute 3:20 to 6:25. More

  • Feb 19 2010

    U.S. Econ Expansion to Ease Off by Mid-Year

    A forward-looking measure of U.S. economic growth slipped further in the latest week, More

  • Feb 12 2010

    2009 Recession End Date Determined for Germany

    We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for Germany. More

  • Feb 12 2010

    U.S. Growth to Throttle Back by Mid-Year

    A gauge of future U.S. economic growth slipped further in the latest week as its yearly growth rate continued to dip from record highs, More

  • Feb 08 2010

    Near-term good, longer-term tough

    Lakshman talks with CNN Money about near-term jobs growth (good) and longer-term challenges (bad). More

  • Feb 06 2010

    Your $$$$$ Interview

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins CNN's Your $$$$$ to discuss the latest jobs data, and a broader discussion on policy and the timing of Fed interest rate moves. The show airs at 1:00 PM (ET) on Saturday More

  • Feb 06 2010

    Fiscal and Monetary Policy

    ECRI's Achuthan joined a panel discussion on jobs, fiscal policies and monetary policy. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs on Cusp of Growth

    ECRI contributed to CBS coverage of the jobs report today. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs will grow in 2010, but then what?

    Despite modest January job losses the good news for job seekers is that after a brutal recession that swallowed stimulus packages whole with barely a burp, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Interviews on Jobs Report

    On Friday ECRI's Achuthan will appear on the following programs to discuss where we are in the business cycle recovery and the latest jobs data. 6:05 AM -- CNBC 8:35 AM -- CNN 9:30 AM -- FBN More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Markets, the Economy & Jobs

    ECRI’s Achuthan joined Squawk Box early this morning to discuss markets & jobs. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs Report Review

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNN right after the jobs numbers were released this morning to offer some cyclical perspective. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    Jobs Recovery Continues

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joins Stuart Varney to discuss the latest jobs report. More

  • Feb 05 2010

    WLI Growth Down, Double Dip Unlikely

    A future U.S. economic growth gauge slipped in the latest week, and its yearly growth rate remained at levels reached in August 2009, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    U.S. Inflation Pressures Begin to Mount

    A monthly gauge of U.S. inflation pressures rose for the tenth straight month in January, indicating a steady rise in prices in the coming months, More

  • Feb 05 2010

    EZ Inflation Pressures Ease Slightly

    Inflationary pressures in the euro area eased slightly in December but remained near November's 11-month high, More

  • Feb 04 2010

    Cycles and Euro Credit Risk

    ECRI's Banerji talks with NDTV about the Eurozone credit issues and the business cycle. More

  • Feb 03 2010

    Interview with Bloomberg

    ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Radio's Tom Keene this morning about what's shaping up as a "textbook" recovery. More

  • Feb 03 2010

    China vs. U.S.

    ECRI's Achuthan joined CNN this morning to discuss the rising U.S. deficit and how it impacts the influence of the U.S. globally. More

  • Jan 30 2010

    Resilient Recovery

    ECRI's Achuthan talks with NPR's Jim Zarroli about the nature of the economic recovery. More

Upcoming Events

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I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald

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