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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Feb 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S.economic growth rose to a 39-week high in the latest week. More

  • Feb 07 2011

    Washington, DC

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan and Melinda Hubman will be in Washington, DC on February 7 and 8 for client meetings and presentations. More

  • Feb 04 2011

    Jobs in boom-bust cycle

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses jobs and how the Fed is actually encouraging boom-bust cycles. More

  • Feb 04 2011

    UK FIG at Five-Month High

    Inflationary pressures in Britain rose to a five-month high in December, according to an indicator from the Economic Cycle Research Institute designed to predict inflation trends. More

  • Feb 04 2011

    Euro FIG at 26-Month High

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 26-month high in December but well below their 2008 peak. More

  • Feb 04 2011

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 101.6 from a revised 100.5 in December. More

  • Jan 28 2011

    Boston Presentation Slides and Notes

    On January 26 ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke to the Boston Economics Club during a luncheon at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. More

  • Jan 28 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 6-week low while the annualized growth index declined to a 3-week low. More

  • Jan 26 2011

    Boston, Massachusetts

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan and Melinda Hubman will be in Boston on January 26 for client meetings. More

  • Jan 25 2011

    State of the economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined MSNBC to discuss jobs, infrastructure and education, also pointing out that the course has already been set for the first half of 2011. More

  • Jan 24 2011

    Revival Imminent

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses imminent U.S. economic growth revival. More

  • Jan 22 2011

    State of the Union's Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNN's Your Money to discuss how the economy and Washington intersect. More

  • Jan 22 2011

    Washington and the Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the economy and jobs in 2011, and what influence Washington has in the near-term. More

  • Jan 21 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 36-week high. More

  • Jan 19 2011

    A Fed That Has No Clue

    Where are we in the economic cycle? More

  • Jan 14 2011

    WLI Dips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined to a 3-week low in the latest week. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Jobs report and the business cycle

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs report and how it relates to where were are in the business cycle. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Reaction to Jobs Report

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs numbers as they are released. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Spring growth revival, Fed lagging behind

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses jobs and the Fed ahead of this morning's data release. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in December. More

Testimonial

ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
- ECRI Professional Member
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
- The New York Times
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
           

Our Track Record

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