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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jan 23 2010

    Is "Stimulus" Working?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined a CNN discussion about the effectiveness of the $787 billion stimulus in generating an economic recovery. More

  • Jan 22 2010

    WLI Growth at 19-Week Low

    A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth continued to rise in the latest week while its yearly growth rate slipped further, More

  • Jan 15 2010

    WLI Continues Climbing

    A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth continued its climb in the latest week, More

  • Jan 08 2010

    Bank Lending Is Still Down. Should We Be Worried?

    "...Finally, unlike the stock market or consumer confidence, bank lending is a lagging indicator. Businesses look for loans to expand once the economy is growing and orders are coming in again. More

  • Jan 08 2010

    Seeing Through the Fog

    First, the good news: U.S. unemployment didn't increase in December, remaining at the 10% level from November, according to figures released Friday by the U.S. Labor Department. More

  • Jan 08 2010

    U.S. Inflation Pressures Begin to Mount in December

    A monthly gauge of U.S. inflation pressures rose for the ninth straight month in December, More

  • Jan 08 2010

    WLI Climbs to 18-month High

    A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week as its yearly growth rate declined, More

  • Jan 08 2010

    Inflation Simmers in EZ

    Inflationary pressure has returned in the 16-nation euro zone, More

  • Jan 07 2010

    2009 Recession End Dates Determined for Japan, Canada (and many more)

    We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for the following countries: Canada: Jul. ‘09 Mexico: May ‘09 France: Feb. ‘09 Japan: Mar. ‘09 Korea: Dec ‘0 More

  • Jan 03 2010

    Curb Your Enthusiasm

    I didn’t like what I heard from one of my favorite economists when I ran into him at a party on New Year’s Day. More

  • Jan 02 2010

    2010 outlook for economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talked with the CBS Evening news. More

  • Dec 31 2009

    WLI Level Edges Higher

    A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth edged higher in the latest week. More

  • Dec 31 2009

    Achuthan Explains Why Recessions More Frequent

    ECRI managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, spoke with Bloomberg TV about why the U.S. will see more frequent recessions ahead. More

  • Dec 31 2009

    2010 Cyclical Outlook

    ECRI’s Achuthan appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning to discuss the near-term and longer-term cyclical outlook. His comments come at the beginning and end of the segment. More

  • Dec 22 2009

    Recovery and Jobs Growth are Underway

    Lakshman Achuthan is the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute and managing editor of ECRI’s forecasting publications. More

  • Dec 18 2009

    WLI Rises to 17-month High

    A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth continued to rise, reaching levels hit in the summer of 2008. More

  • Dec 11 2009

    Commodities Show Boom as Recession Recedes

    Raw-material prices are signaling the economy is in a "boom cycle" as the world exits the worst recession since World War II, said Lakshman Achuthan. More

  • Dec 11 2009

    Consumer is Recovering

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan comments on where the consumer is now, and where they're headed in coming quarters (following breakdown of survey data by Steve Liesman). More

  • Dec 11 2009

    WLI Growth Rises

    A weekly index of future U.S. economic growth ticked up to levels reached early last year in the latest week. More

  • Dec 08 2009

    Higher Productivity Means More Jobs Ahead

    The Workforce is Working Harder With Fewer Workers SUSIE GHARIB: As the White House tries to kick-start hiring, companies across the economy are getting by with fewer workers. But those employees a More

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In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
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(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
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