A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jan 26 2011

    Boston, Massachusetts

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan and Melinda Hubman will be in Boston on January 26 for client meetings. More

  • Jan 25 2011

    State of the economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined MSNBC to discuss jobs, infrastructure and education, also pointing out that the course has already been set for the first half of 2011. More

  • Jan 24 2011

    Revival Imminent

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses imminent U.S. economic growth revival. More

  • Jan 22 2011

    State of the Union's Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNN's Your Money to discuss how the economy and Washington intersect. More

  • Jan 22 2011

    Washington and the Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the economy and jobs in 2011, and what influence Washington has in the near-term. More

  • Jan 21 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 36-week high. More

  • Jan 19 2011

    A Fed That Has No Clue

    Where are we in the economic cycle? More

  • Jan 14 2011

    WLI Dips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined to a 3-week low in the latest week. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Jobs report and the business cycle

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs report and how it relates to where were are in the business cycle. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Reaction to Jobs Report

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs numbers as they are released. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Spring growth revival, Fed lagging behind

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses jobs and the Fed ahead of this morning's data release. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in December. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Jobs Day TV Interviews

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will make the following appearances Friday to discuss the latest jobs data: 6:10 AM -- CNBC's Squawk Box 8:30 AM -- CNN's American Morning 6:30 PM -- NBC's Nightly Ne More

  • Jan 07 2011

    Euro price pressures at 25-mth high

    European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Friday he saw no danger of inflation taking off in the euro zone. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    UK inflation pressures edge up slightly

    Inflationary pressure edged up in November, data from the Economic Cycle Research Institute showed on Friday. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 2-week low in the latest week. More

  • Jan 05 2011

    Growth Revival and Inflation

    "...A growth acceleration is very likely in 2011, says Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which publishes the closely watched Weekly Leading Indicators. More

  • Jan 04 2011

    2011 Outlook for Jobs

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the timing of a revival in U.S. economic growth and what to expect from the job market in 2011. More

  • Dec 31 2010

    WLI Rises to 33-week High

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth, as well as the index's annualized growth rate, More

  • Dec 31 2010

    WLI and Revival

    A focus on the Weekly Leading Index. More


For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
This approach works like a charm.
- Forbes Magazine

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