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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jan 07 2011

    UK inflation pressures edge up slightly

    Inflationary pressure edged up in November, data from the Economic Cycle Research Institute showed on Friday. More

  • Jan 07 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 2-week low in the latest week. More

  • Jan 05 2011

    Growth Revival and Inflation

    "...A growth acceleration is very likely in 2011, says Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which publishes the closely watched Weekly Leading Indicators. More

  • Jan 04 2011

    2011 Outlook for Jobs

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the timing of a revival in U.S. economic growth and what to expect from the job market in 2011. More

  • Dec 31 2010

    WLI Rises to 33-week High

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth, as well as the index's annualized growth rate, More

  • Dec 31 2010

    WLI and Revival

    A focus on the Weekly Leading Index. More

  • Dec 23 2010

    WLI Rises Again

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 32-week high in the latest week, More

  • Dec 17 2010

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to its highest level since May in the latest week, More

  • Dec 10 2010

    WLI Rises Again

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 29-week high in the latest week, More

  • Dec 09 2010

    Nothing to Fear but Fear

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the high jobless rate and the debate about what government can do about it. More

  • Dec 03 2010

    Why Emplorers Hire

    "...We're producing almost as much as we did before the recession, with 7.5 million less people," said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute. "The difference is goi More

  • Dec 03 2010

    Job market will improve

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses how the November jobs report is not a forward-looking measure of where the economy is headed. More

  • Dec 03 2010

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a two-week low in the latest week although its annualized growth rate rose to a 26-week high, More

  • Dec 03 2010

    Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in November, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 99.6 from an unrevised 97.4 in October, More

  • Dec 03 2010

    Forecasting the Jobs Cycle

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with WNYC radio early this morning about why jobs growth with persist, even despite fears of potential shocks. More

  • Dec 03 2010

    Euro Inflation Simmering

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone edged up in October, according to a forward-looking indicator from the Economic Cycle Research Institute. More

  • Nov 30 2010

    CNBC Interview

    At 6:15 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNBC to discus why there is a revival in growth in clear sight, and how to think about potential shocks. More

  • Nov 30 2010

    A Revival in Growth

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses why there is a revival in growth in clear sight, and how to think about potential shocks. More

  • Nov 24 2010

    Frugality Fatigue

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Madeleine Brand about strong corporate profits and weak jobs growth. More

  • Nov 24 2010

    Retail Sales and Jobs

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined MPR for a discussion about the recovery, and how it relates to consumer psychology and the job market. More

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Testimonial

ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
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