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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jul 28 2011

    Impact of Debt Default

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan explains why the economy's vulnerability to shocks goes up and down with the business cycle, and how today, given the cyclical slowdown, shocks carry more risk. Corporate prof More

  • Jul 26 2011

    Cyclical Outlook Amid Debt Debate

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Bloomberg TV about the outlook for the U.S. economy amid the continued lawmaker negotiations on raising the U.S. debt ceiling and reducing the deficit. Corporate ea More

  • Jul 25 2011

    Slowdown to Continue

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Reuters about the slowdown, jobs, and the debt and budget debate in Washington. More

  • Jul 22 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week. More

  • Jul 21 2011

    Job Weakness to Persist

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Gerri Willis about the different aspects of weak jobs growth, and what to expect in coming months. More

  • Jul 15 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a six-week high. More

  • Jul 13 2011

    Quantitative Easing and Market Bubbles

    On Wednesday evening at 9 PM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with China Central Television for an extended discussion on the business cycle, quantitative easing and market bubbles. More

  • Jul 12 2011

    Endurance is the Key

    "During the first three months of the year, the U.S. economy grew by just 1.9 percent while China grew 9.7 percent." More

  • Jul 08 2011

    Washington vs. the Business Cycle

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses jobs and near-term policy. More

  • Jul 08 2011

    Jobs Report and the Business Cycle (11 AM)

    On July 8 morning at 11:00 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join MSNBC to discuss the latest job figures in the context of ECRI's leading indicators. More

  • Jul 08 2011

    Rebound Not Happening in Second-Half of 2011

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo's Breakout about today's jobs report. More

  • Jul 08 2011

    U.S. FIG Ticks Down

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in June, as the U.S. future inflation gauge slid to 101.0 from a revised 101.3 in May. More

  • Jul 08 2011

    Eurozone inflationary pressures ease in May

    Inflationary pressures in the eurozone eased to a five-month low in May. More

  • Jul 08 2011

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Jul 07 2011

    Industrial Slowdown Intact

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan explains why the recent upbeat tone of the markets and some economic data doesn't change. More

  • Jul 01 2011

    What's in Store for the Summer

    ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan sat down with Jen Rodgers at Reuters to discuss where we are in the slowdown and where the forecasting debate will head this summer. More

  • Jul 01 2011

    WLI Drops

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 29-week low in the latest week. More

  • Jun 29 2011

    Will Global Growth Bounce Back?

    Growth around the world is clearly slowing. Mired in uncertainty, many policymakers are asserting that the contemporaneous contractions are temporary in nature, and that these economies will “bounce More

  • Jun 27 2011

    Jobs: As Good as it Gets

    (Full report received by Pro clients on 18-May-11) From February to April 2011 the three-month moving average of private sector payroll jobs growth ran up to around 0.7%, and that’s about as good More

  • Jun 27 2011

    Spring 2011 Jobs Growth as Good as it Gets

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan outlines how the cyclical slowdown that will weigh on jobs growth in coming months. More

Testimonial

"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
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- Fortune Magazine
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
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