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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jun 03 2011

    EZ FIG Rises

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone in April were back at February's 29-month high and rooted in a strong cylical upswing. More

  • Jun 02 2011

    Jobs slowdown linked to global slowdown

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Anthony Mason about how the global industrial slowdown is slowing the jobs market. More

  • Jun 02 2011

    Growth Peaking for Global Industrial Sector

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan explains how the imminent slowing of global industrial growth relates to the U.S. economy, including markets and jobs. More

  • Jun 01 2011

    New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks Determined

    Today ECRI is announcing its determination of new growth rate cycle peak dates for Canada, Mexico, Spain and Korea. More

  • May 29 2011

    Why Are Investors Buying Bonds?

    "...By this summer, industrial growth will be visibly slowing around the world, said Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, a private forecasting group. More

  • May 28 2011

    Flat Spain a Risk

    "...The Economic Cycle Research Institute's long leading indicator for Spain, which leads business cycle turns by about a year, peaked in March 2007. More

  • May 27 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell slightly in the latest week. More

  • May 18 2011

    Global Industrial Growth to Slow Soon

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo Finance's Aaron Task about the coming global industrial slowdown. More

  • May 18 2011

    Cruel Summer?

    A global summer slowdown looms as a leading indicator of factory activity has turned down. More

  • May 13 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • May 06 2011

    Growth to Peak for Global Industrial Sector

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene about the jobs data, and the impending global industrial slowdown. More

  • May 06 2011

    Discussing Jobs Report

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan relates today's jobs report to where we are in the business cycle, and where were are headed. More

  • May 06 2011

    Global Industrial Growth Downturn

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC this morning to discuss the impending downturn in global industrial growth. More

  • May 06 2011

    Squawk Box Interview

    On May 6 morning at 6:10 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNBC's Squawk Box to discuss the latest developments in ECRI's indicators. More

  • May 06 2011

    U.S. FIG Drops

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in April, as the U.S. future inflation gauge slid to 102.8 from a revised 104.7 in March. More

  • May 06 2011

    EZ FIG at 30-month high

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 30-month high in March. More

  • May 06 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week to its weakest level in three months. More

  • Apr 25 2011

    Near-term good, but don't extrapolate!

    Lakshman talks with Gerri Willis about near-term and longer term cyclical risks for the U.S. economy. More

  • Apr 21 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week to its highest level in nearly a year. More

  • Apr 15 2011

    The latest inflation data

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Fox Business News about the latest CPI data update, with a focus on the core rate of inflation. More

Testimonial

As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
- ECRI Professional Member
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
           

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