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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Apr 01 2011

    The Fed's problem is knowing when to move

    Early Friday morning Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs report, and how the Fed is hampered by the Output Gap, Core Inflation and even inflation expectations. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    How low can unemployment go?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the decline in unemployment. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose slightly in the latest week. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    Euro price pressures at 29-mth high

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 29-month high in February. More

  • Apr 01 2011

    U.S. FIG Rises

    The ECRI US future inflation gauge continues its rise in March, a trend sure to get noticed by Federal Reserve officials concerned about growing inflation expectations. More

  • Mar 31 2011

    Mr. Greenspan’s Blind Spot

    In early March, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan was asked to comment about ECRI's long-held criticism that the Fed is chronically behind the curve on monetary policy. More

  • Mar 25 2011

    WLI Dips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped last week. More

  • Mar 18 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week. More

  • Mar 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to the highest level in 10 months in the latest week. More

  • Mar 10 2011

    Announcing Russian Business Cycle Dates

    ECRI has determined the business cycle dates for the Russian economy. More

  • Mar 06 2011

    Big Picture Outlook

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan speaks with Anthony Mason about where we are the business cycle. More

  • Mar 04 2011

    Squawk Box Interview

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the recovery and Fed inflation forecasting. More

  • Mar 04 2011

    Euro FIG at 28-month high

    Euro zone inflationary pressures hit a 28-month high in January. More

  • Mar 04 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future economic growth dipped in the latest week. More

  • Mar 04 2011

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in February. More

  • Feb 25 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Feb 18 2011

    WLI Dips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell slightly in the latest week. More

  • Feb 15 2011

    Predicting record-breaking expansion is fantasy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Gerri Willis about why budget predictions, based on presumptions of a record-breaking pace of growth and length of the expansion, is just fantasy. More

  • Feb 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S.economic growth rose to a 39-week high in the latest week. More

  • Feb 07 2011

    Washington, DC

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan and Melinda Hubman will be in Washington, DC on February 7 and 8 for client meetings and presentations. More

Testimonial

ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
           

Our Track Record

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