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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Dec 02 2011

    Eurozone FIG Down

    Inflation pressures in the euro zone eased to a 13-month low in October. More

  • Nov 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Nov 18 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Nov 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to an eight-week high in the latest week. More

  • Nov 07 2011

    Recession Call Intact

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss ECRI's recession call announced on Sep. 30, and explained that over the past century most recessions began during quarters with positive GDP growth. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    U.S. FIG Drops

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in October, as the U.S. future inflation gauge dipped to 99.2 from a revised 99.7 in September, originally reported as 99.9, according to data released Friday. More

  • Oct 28 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth picked up in the latest week. More

  • Oct 26 2011

    Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

    Flashback to an April 2008 interview discussing how ECRI's recession call remained intact despite a rise in stock prices and other data. More

  • Oct 24 2011

    Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

    Flashback to an April 2008 interview discussing how ECRI's recession call remained intact despite a rise in stock prices and other data. More

  • Oct 21 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Oct 14 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate fell to its lowest level in more than a year, a research group said on Friday. More

  • Oct 12 2011

    In-depth Interview

    At 9:00 PM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join Matt Miller on Bloomberg TV's Rewind to discuss how ECRI doesn't use models for forecasting, and why we are in an era of more frequent recessions. More

  • Oct 11 2011

    Recession Nips at Heels of Economy

    "...'We've had a new slowdown that began roughly in the second quarter of 2011,' says Lakshman Achuthan, who heads the Economic Cycle Research Institute. ' More

  • Oct 09 2011

    An Ugly Forecast That’s Been Right Before

    LET’S face it: economic forecasting is an act of sheer hubris. Which, of course, only incites people to do it. More

  • Oct 08 2011

    Recession & Jobs

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNN's Your $$$$$ on Saturday to discuss ECRI's recession call and what it means for the job market in coming months. Re-airing Sunday at 3 PM (ET). More

  • Oct 07 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth weakened in the latest week. More

  • Oct 07 2011

    US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in September, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 99.9 from a revised 99.2 in August. More

  • Oct 07 2011

    Global Slowdown

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Al Jazeera. More

  • Oct 07 2011

    Interview on Jobs

    At 7 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with WNYC's John Hockenberry about the outlook for jobs in coming months. More

Testimonial

ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
- The New York Times
This approach works like a charm.
- Forbes Magazine
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

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