A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Oct 29 2010

    No double-dip recession, but jobs growth to slow

    Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI no new recession verdict with CNN, and why that doesn't mean jobs growth will improve anytime soon. More

  • Oct 28 2010

    No double-dip recession

    The good news is that the much-feared double-dip recession is not going to happen. More

  • Oct 28 2010

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 3-week high in the latest week, More

  • Oct 22 2010

    WLI Eases

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a six-week low in the latest week, More

  • Oct 15 2010

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 3-week low in the latest week, More

  • Oct 11 2010

    Stimulus Jobs and Recession Call

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discussing what impact stimulus can have on the jobs market, and when ECRI can make a call on recession vs. soft-landing. More

  • Oct 10 2010

    Depression Facts, and Jobs Report Review

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNN this weekend to discuss the weak recovery, and the jobs market landscape. More

  • Oct 08 2010

    Understanding the Job Data

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with the Newshour's Ray Suarez about the latest jobs figures. More

  • Oct 08 2010

    Double-dip or soft landing

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with CNN's Poppy Harlow about the jobs data and business cycle outlook More

  • Oct 08 2010

    Jobs Preview, Fed Policy and Recession vs. Soft-landing

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNBC this morning about the jobs report and Fed policy. Lakshman went on to say that ECRI is in the midst of a formal analysis on the very question of recession vs. More

  • Oct 08 2010

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 19-week high in the latest week while the annualized growth rate rose to an 16-week high, a research group said on Friday. The Economic Cycle Rese More

  • Oct 08 2010

    U.S. FIG Edges Up

    A monthly measure of U.S. inflation pressures rose in September. More

  • Oct 08 2010

    Jobs Day Interviews

    On Friday morning, ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will appear on the following shows to discuss the cyclical outlook, including the monthly jobs report. More

  • Oct 05 2010

    Lessons for China from Japan and America

    China is showing that it has learnt a lesson from the ruinous choices made by the world's other two biggest economies. More

  • Oct 04 2010

    Growth Rate Cycle Chronologies Updated

    ECRI has updated the growth rate cycle dates for India and New Zealand. More

  • Oct 01 2010

    Weekly Leading Index Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 2-week high in the latest week, More

  • Sep 24 2010

    WLI Level Falls

    A measure of future U.S.economic growth fell to a 2-week low in the latest week, More

  • Sep 24 2010

    Recession End Dates for Major Int'l Economies

    ECRI has determined the recession end dates for most of the G-7 and other major economies, More

  • Sep 21 2010

    Why so long to declare recession over?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Asia about the fact the the recovery is real, even though most still believe we're in recession. More

  • Sep 21 2010

    Recession Over?

    In the first segment of CBS Evening News ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses why it still feels like we're in recession. More

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In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
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"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's

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