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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jan 20 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week to its highest level in five months. More

  • Jan 13 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Jan 11 2012

    ECRI WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    WLI Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 30 2011

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More

  • Dec 18 2011

    Forecasting Fog

    The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More

  • Dec 16 2011

    WLI Little Changed

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Dec 09 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Dec 08 2011

    Recession Update

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recessionary outlook, Gross Domestic Income, and how economic growth doesn't really "muddle along" at sustained low rates. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    U.S. FIG Unchanged

    U.S. inflationary pressures were unchanged in November, as the U.S. future inflation gauge held at 98.3 from a revised 98.3 in October. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    Eurozone FIG Down

    Inflation pressures in the euro zone eased to a 13-month low in October. More

  • Nov 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Nov 18 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Nov 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to an eight-week high in the latest week. More

  • Nov 07 2011

    Recession Call Intact

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss ECRI's recession call announced on Sep. 30, and explained that over the past century most recessions began during quarters with positive GDP growth. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    U.S. FIG Drops

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in October, as the U.S. future inflation gauge dipped to 99.2 from a revised 99.7 in September, originally reported as 99.9, according to data released Friday. More

Testimonial

Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
- ECRI Professional Member
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
           

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