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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Sep 23 2011

    WLI Slips

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators is still, you guessed it, pointing in the wrong direction. More

  • Sep 19 2011

    Cycles & Current Events

    ECRI's Achuthan discusses current events from ECRI's cyclical vantage point. More

  • Sep 18 2011

    Skating on Thin Ice

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with NPR's All Things Considered about the risk of recession and the jobs challenge that predated the recession. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    New Recession Risk

    Last year economist Lakshman Achuthan said he thought the United States had emerged from the depths of a recession, but today the picture looks a bit more grim. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    WLI Falls

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators continues to trot in the wrong direction, down. More

  • Sep 11 2011

    Serious recession threat for U.S.

    New York-based Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) tracks some 20 large economies contributing about 80% of the world GDP. More

  • Sep 10 2011

    Interview on Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be interviewed on All Things Considered this weekend at 5:00 PM (ET). More

  • Sep 09 2011

    WLI Ticks Up, but Growth Weakens

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth ticked higher in the latest week. More

  • Sep 06 2011

    Update on Jobs Outlook

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Fox Business this morning to discuss the cyclical outlook, including jobs. More

  • Sep 03 2011

    Outlook for Growth

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNN's Your $$$$$ at 1:00 PM (ET) on Saturday, and then again at 3:00 PM on Sunday. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    Long-Term Problem for Long-Term Unemployed

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be on NBC Nightly News discussing how the problems with employment predated the Great Recession. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    Interview on Jobs

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan returns to Bloomberg TV following to follow up on an early May appearance. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    Eurozone FIG Edges Up

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone edged up in July from June's seven-month low. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    Recession Risk Rising

    "As if Friday's report that showed job creation at a dead stall wasn't bad enough, economists say the worst could be yet to come. More

  • Sep 02 2011

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Down

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in August, as the U.S. future inflation gauge rose to 99.5 from 98.5 in July. More

  • Aug 31 2011

    Trend of Slowing Jobs Growth

    Segment including ECRI runs from the 9:00 to 11:40 minute mark. More

  • Aug 31 2011

    Job Market to Remain Weak

    Near the end of the interview Lakshman misquoted the number of robots currently used by Foxconn, China’s largest private employer (10,000, not 10 million!). More

  • Aug 31 2011

    Jobs Outlook Tough for Policy

    President Obama will need a home run when he rolls out his new, long-awaited jobs plan next week. More

  • Aug 29 2011

    No Near-Term Jobs Fix

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses job market challenges in the context of the current slowdown occurring within an era of more frequent recessions. More

Testimonial

No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
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- ECRI Professional Member
           

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