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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Jan 13 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Jan 11 2012

    ECRI WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    WLI Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 30 2011

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More

  • Dec 18 2011

    Forecasting Fog

    The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More

  • Dec 16 2011

    WLI Little Changed

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Dec 09 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Dec 08 2011

    Recession Update

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recessionary outlook, Gross Domestic Income, and how economic growth doesn't really "muddle along" at sustained low rates. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    U.S. FIG Unchanged

    U.S. inflationary pressures were unchanged in November, as the U.S. future inflation gauge held at 98.3 from a revised 98.3 in October. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    Eurozone FIG Down

    Inflation pressures in the euro zone eased to a 13-month low in October. More

  • Nov 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Nov 18 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Nov 11 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to an eight-week high in the latest week. More

  • Nov 07 2011

    Recession Call Intact

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss ECRI's recession call announced on Sep. 30, and explained that over the past century most recessions began during quarters with positive GDP growth. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Nov 04 2011

    U.S. FIG Drops

    U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in October, as the U.S. future inflation gauge dipped to 99.2 from a revised 99.7 in September, originally reported as 99.9, according to data released Friday. More

  • Oct 28 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth picked up in the latest week. More

Testimonial

(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
This approach works like a charm.
- Forbes Magazine
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
           

Our Track Record

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Highlights of ECRI's calls.

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