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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Feb 03 2012

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    Euro Inflation Pressures Ease

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone slipped further in December. More

  • Feb 01 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January. More

  • Jan 27 2012

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined modestly in the latest week. More

  • Jan 20 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week to its highest level in five months. More

  • Jan 13 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Jan 11 2012

    ECRI WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    WLI Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 30 2011

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More

  • Dec 18 2011

    Forecasting Fog

    The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More

  • Dec 16 2011

    WLI Little Changed

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Dec 09 2011

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More

  • Dec 08 2011

    Recession Update

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recessionary outlook, Gross Domestic Income, and how economic growth doesn't really "muddle along" at sustained low rates. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    U.S. FIG Unchanged

    U.S. inflationary pressures were unchanged in November, as the U.S. future inflation gauge held at 98.3 from a revised 98.3 in October. More

  • Dec 02 2011

    Eurozone FIG Down

    Inflation pressures in the euro zone eased to a 13-month low in October. More

  • Nov 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

Testimonial

Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
           

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