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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Oct 05 2011

    Recession & Yield Spread

    Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recession call with BNN. More

  • Oct 05 2011

    Made in the U.S.A.

    "Sell in May and go away" is the hoary cliché that proved prescient this year for stock traders. More

  • Oct 05 2011

    Explaining the Recession Call

    The U.S. recovery wasn’t much to begin with, and now it’s dead. More

  • Oct 04 2011

    Double-Dip or New Recession?

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Anthony Mason about ECRI's new U.S. recession call. More

  • Oct 04 2011

    Interview on Outlook

    Lakshman Achuthan will talk with Bloomberg Radio's Kathleen Hayes about the cyclical outlook. More

  • Oct 03 2011

    New Recession Call

    Lakshman Achuthan discussed ECRI's recent recession call with Ali Velshi on American Morning. More

  • Oct 03 2011

    US recession, vicious cycle

    Is the sky really falling? In a business far more forgiving of misguided optimism than the opposite, pundits must be wary of predicting recessions. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    Recession Can't be Averted

    Lakshman Achuthan talks with The Wall Street Journal about ECRI's new recession call. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    It's Going to Get Worse

    Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo Finance about ECRI new recession call. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    Squawk Box Interview

    Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC's Squawk Box at 6:10 AM (ET) to discuss the recession call that ECRI announced today. More

  • Sep 30 2011

    A New Recession

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene about the new recession. More

  • Sep 24 2011

    Recall Last May

    "As if to underline the Fed's downbeat assessment (which was echoed by the International Monetary Fund), the Economic Cycle Research Institute's U.S. weekly leading indicator has deteriorated. More

  • Sep 23 2011

    WLI Slips

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators is still, you guessed it, pointing in the wrong direction. More

  • Sep 19 2011

    Cycles & Current Events

    ECRI's Achuthan discusses current events from ECRI's cyclical vantage point. More

  • Sep 18 2011

    Skating on Thin Ice

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with NPR's All Things Considered about the risk of recession and the jobs challenge that predated the recession. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    New Recession Risk

    Last year economist Lakshman Achuthan said he thought the United States had emerged from the depths of a recession, but today the picture looks a bit more grim. More

  • Sep 16 2011

    WLI Falls

    The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly index of leading economic indicators continues to trot in the wrong direction, down. More

  • Sep 11 2011

    Serious recession threat for U.S.

    New York-based Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) tracks some 20 large economies contributing about 80% of the world GDP. More

  • Sep 10 2011

    Interview on Economy

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be interviewed on All Things Considered this weekend at 5:00 PM (ET). More

Upcoming Events

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Testimonial

ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
- ECRI Professional Member
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
           

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Highlights of ECRI's calls.

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