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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Mar 02 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up to its highest level in six months last week. More

  • Feb 29 2012

    Q4 GDP Revision & Recession

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNNi following today's revision to 2011 Q4 GDP. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    U.S. Growth Slowing, Not Reviving

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Surveillance to point out that U.S. economic growth has actually slowed in recent months, contrary to the consensus view. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    WLI Drops

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped last week. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    U.S. Growth at 21-Month Low

    The hard data which officially define recession show that U.S. economic growth has been slowing, not reviving. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    Velocity of Money Dropping

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses our recession call, including the Weekly Leading Index and velocity of money. More

  • Feb 17 2012

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Feb 10 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged higher in the latest week. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    Euro Inflation Pressures Ease

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone slipped further in December. More

  • Feb 01 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January. More

  • Jan 27 2012

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined modestly in the latest week. More

  • Jan 20 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week to its highest level in five months. More

  • Jan 13 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Jan 11 2012

    ECRI WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    WLI Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 30 2011

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More

Testimonial

"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
           

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