frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News & Events

  • Mar 02 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up to its highest level in six months last week. More

  • Feb 29 2012

    Q4 GDP Revision & Recession

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNNi following today's revision to 2011 Q4 GDP. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    U.S. Growth Slowing, Not Reviving

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Surveillance to point out that U.S. economic growth has actually slowed in recent months, contrary to the consensus view. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    WLI Drops

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped last week. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    U.S. Growth at 21-Month Low

    The hard data which officially define recession show that U.S. economic growth has been slowing, not reviving. More

  • Feb 24 2012

    Velocity of Money Dropping

    ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses our recession call, including the Weekly Leading Index and velocity of money. More

  • Feb 17 2012

    WLI Falls

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week. More

  • Feb 10 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged higher in the latest week. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    WLI Ticks Up

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2. More

  • Feb 03 2012

    Euro Inflation Pressures Ease

    Inflationary pressures in the euro zone slipped further in December. More

  • Feb 01 2012

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January. More

  • Jan 27 2012

    WLI Slips

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined modestly in the latest week. More

  • Jan 20 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week to its highest level in five months. More

  • Jan 13 2012

    WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More

  • Jan 11 2012

    ECRI WLI Rises

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    U.S. FIG Rises

    U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More

  • Jan 06 2012

    WLI Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 30 2011

    Weekly Leading Index Falls

    A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More

  • Dec 23 2011

    WLI Ticks Down

    A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More

Testimonial

"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline