frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • May 29, 2015
  • ECRI

Global Phenomena Require Global Explanations

Japan, the Eurozone, the U.S., and the U.K., have all been unable to generate any meaningful productivity growth in recent years.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Global Phenomena Require Global Explanations

ECRI May 29, 2015

Japan, the Eurozone, the U.S., and the U.K., have all been unable to generate any meaningful productivity growth in recent years.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down

ECRI May 29, 2015

U.S. WLI ticks down to 133.7, growth rate slips to 1.4%.   More

Eurozone Reflation

ECRI May 27, 2015

An upturn in the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge presaged the recent upturn in nominal 10-year Bund yields.   More

Scoping Out a Phantom Recession

New York Times May 23, 2015

“It’s been about as weak as it could be without falling into recession,” Mr. Achuthan said.    More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.2
Public update:

May 29
10:30am

Member update:

May 29
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.9
Public update:

May 08
9:40am

Member update:

May 08
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -1.0
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest

Upcoming Events

More Events