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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • May 24, 2017
  • Mauldin Economics

International Inflation Cycles Sync Up

In the 21st century international inflation cycles have become more synchronized, enabling even earlier detection of cyclical turns in inflation.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

ECB’s Dilemma

The Daily Telegraph May 25, 2017

Overheated German economy or debt crisis in Italy.   More

International Inflation Cycles Sync Up

Mauldin Economics May 24, 2017

In the 21st century international inflation cycles have become more synchronized, enabling even earlier detection of cyclical turns in inflation.   More

New Growth Rate Cycle Date Determined for the U.S.

ECRI May 23, 2017

New U.S. growth rate cycle trough date.   More

U.S. WLI Ticks Down

ECRI May 19, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at 55-week low.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.2
Public update:

May 19
10:30am

Member update:

May 19
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.0
Public update:

May 05
9:40am

Member update:

May 05
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -1.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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