A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • May 25, 2016
  • ECRI

Wage Erosion Resumes

Higher inflation eats away at real wage growth.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increases

ECRI May 27, 2016

U.S. WLI increased to 136.1, growth rate edged up to 6.1%.   More

Wage Erosion Resumes

ECRI May 25, 2016

Higher inflation eats away at real wage growth.   More

U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Decreased

ECRI May 23, 2016

Year-over-year growth in ECRI’s USCI decreased to 1.9%, a 28-month low.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Slips

ECRI May 20, 2016

U.S. WLI slipped to 134.5, growth rate ticked down to 5.3%.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 1.0
Public update:

May 27

Member update:

May 27


USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.2
Public update:

May 06

Member update:

May 06

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.7
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest