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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • September 20, 2017
  • CNBC

Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed

ECRI’s Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Alternative research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Weekly Leading Index Unchanged

ECRI September 22, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index was unchanged, but the growth rate fell to a 78-week low.   More

Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed

CNBC September 20, 2017

ECRI’s Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth.   More

Weekly Leading Index Increases

ECRI September 15, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index rises, but growth rate slips to 77-week low.   More

Q&A On Waning Economic Growth

Seeking Alpha September 8, 2017

U.S. economic growth is now “about as good as it gets.”   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.1
Public update:

Sep 22
10:30am

Member update:

Sep 22
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.4
Public update:

Sep 01
9:40am

Member update:

Sep 01
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 1.5
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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