A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.
To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.
The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.

ECRI Professional Services

ECRI professional services deliver a clear view of the path ahead. Forewarned of upcoming turning points in economic and inflation cycles, our members have the clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

Investment Managers

For decades, investment managers have looked to us to navigate cyclical shifts in market perceptions. This has typically enabled them to lower risk, increase returns, and outperform their peers. A 5% increase in annual returns for our members is not unusual - $500 million on a $10 billion portfolio.

Business Executives

Business executives use ECRI to improve the timing of their critical tactical decisions such as building or reducing inventory and adjusting pricing and staffing levels. Members are prepared for the economy's swings – not surprised by them – and therefore succeed when their competition stumbles.

Government Policymakers

Government policymakers can use ECRI to improve the timing of policy decisions. Since monetary policy typically lags economic activity and fiscal policy must be sensitive to the cyclical outlook, a reliable assessment of turning point risk should produce smoother macroeconomic outcomes.

ECRI's services are designed to deliver a clear, actionable cyclical outlook. It includes all of the information you need to comprehend the evolving dynamics of a complex global economy.

Private Advisory Sessions

Access to ECRI principals – regular video/telephone conferences and in-person meetings to discuss nuances of the economic outlook alongside your specific concerns.

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Proprietary Database

Access to all of ECRI's leading indexes covering 21 economies delivered to your desktop in real time.

Professional Reports

U.S. and International Essentials, Focus and Weekly Updates.

Learn more about Professional Reports and download sample excerpts

Professional A Global

Private advisory sessions
Professional reports
Proprietary database
Up to 20 users, up to three locations

Professional A

Private advisory sessions
Professional reports
Proprietary database
Up to 10 users in one location

Professional B

Professional reports
Proprietary database
Up to 3 users in one location
Note: Private advisory sessions are not included

Contact Us

pro@businesscycle.com
New York: +1 (212) 557-7788●London: +44 (207) 060-1223

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Contact ECRI

Email

pro@businesscycle.com

Phone

New York: + 1 (212) 557-7788
London: + 44 (207) 060-1223

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FAQ

Testimonial

In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.

- ECRI Client

For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.

- Grant's Interest Rate Observer

I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction - even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that - lead where things were headed.

- Randall Forsyth, Barron's

As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.

- ECRI Client

[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.

- The New York Times

No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.

- Fortune Magazine

Our Track Record

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline