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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Feb 07 2012

Will the U.S. Decouple?

While the Eurozone debt crisis still lingers on, there is increasing confidence that the U.S. economy is reaccelerating, given the recent better-than-expected economic data. This has again made popular the view that the U.S. has decoupled from the Eurozone and other major economies.

In this context, ECRI has completed an in-depth analysis about international synchronization of cyclical downturns in the major economies, including China and India. The study delves into the relationship between global interdependence and cyclical synchronization, providing important clues as to whether the U.S. economy can decouple from the Eurozone in the coming months.

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Forecasting Fog

New York Times December 18, 2011

The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More

 

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