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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Apr 27 2012

New Global Cyclical Shifts Taking Hold

While the mainstream accepts that there is concerted weakness in Europe, ECRI’s latest report presents evidence of new cyclical patterns arising with regard to specific sectors of global growth.  Are we on the verge of a new leg of global cyclical weakness, or is there actually some underlying strength?

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The Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 1, 2012

The convergence of two cyclical patterns virtually dictates an era of more frequent recessions in developed economies. As a result, and because of the Bullwhip Effect, growth in developing economies is going to be jerked around more than people think, making for a good deal of cyclical economic contagion. In other words, we are now in the yo-yo years.

 

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Toronto

ECRI April 30, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on April 30, 2012.

 

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