A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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May 29 2012

More Signs of Global Economic Stress

Although the consensus is roiling amid “new” concerns that Chinese growth is facing a significant downturn, ECRI’s forward-looking Chinese leading indexes have been predicting the looming weakness for some time.

Our latest update reveals the direction that Chinese growth and inflation will take in coming months, not to mention the implications of a few cyclical nuances that have emerged – many of which remain beyond the scope of the mainstream view thus far.

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Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?

ECRI May 9, 2012

Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More


Rising GDP Doesn't Rule Out Recession

CNN May 11, 2012

Yes, U.S. GDP is still rising, according to the latest reports. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a new recession. More



ECRI June 4, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Oslo to meet with professional members on June 4, 2012.


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