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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Aug 31 2011

Looming Risks in Korea

With high Korean inflation, and concern about growth going forward, there are mounting fears that the Korean economy is in for tough times.

ECRI has just completed an in-depth cyclical risk analysis based on its forward-looking Korean indicators for domestic growth, exports and inflation. This study provides clear insights into the nuances of the cyclical direction of growth and inflation in coming months.

This information is excerpted from a full report issued August 26, 2011 to Professional members.

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Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

CNBC October 24, 2011

Flashback to an April 2008 interview discussing how ECRI's recession call remained intact despite a rise in stock prices and other data. More