A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

All Reports

Jan 24 2012

Is the U.S. Economy Gathering Steam?

With recent U.S. economic data showing better-than-consensus readings, there is growing agreement that the U.S. economy has avoided a recession.

Do the data really reflect a genuine firming in economic activity, or is this merely a false dawn before a recession hits?

ECRI’s latest report on the U.S. outlook provides clear insights into this issue, with important implications for the markets and policymakers.

Related News & Events

Forecasting Fog

New York Times December 18, 2011

The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More


Recession Update

Bloomberg December 8, 2011

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recessionary outlook, Gross Domestic Income, and how economic growth doesn't really "muddle along" at sustained low rates. More