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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Mar 30 2012

Germany and the Eurozone Recession

Most observers believe that with the Eurozone financial crisis contained for now, dangers to the German economy have receded. In fact, with popular business and consumer surveys rising in recent months, it is widely expected that the German economy will accelerate in coming months, and recession is only a remote possibility.

This confidence in the German economy is partly due to its strong recovery since the Great Recession that is in stark contrast to those Eurozone economies plagued by slow growth and high unemployment. Our latest analysis shows that some of the strength currently associated with the German economy may be masking its vulnerabilities.

Related News & Events

Toronto

ECRI April 30, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on April 30, 2012.

 

The Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 22, 2012

Presentation slides and notes from Frankfurt conference about the risk of contagion, explaining why both developed and developing economies are now in the "Yo-Yo Years." More

 

Why Our Recession Call Stands

ECRI March 15, 2012

Many have questioned why, in the face of improving economic data, ECRI has maintained its recession call. The straight answer is that the objective economic indicators we monitor give us no choice. More