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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Sep 18 2012

Where is Chinese Inflation Headed?

After easing since last summer, Chinese inflation ticked up in August on rising food prices. Thus, the consensus view has shifted in a direction suggesting that China’s monetary policy options are now more limited than they appeared last month, when Chinese inflation fell to a two-and-a-half-year low.

However, beyond the official headline inflation number, the data offer important details about how China’s policies have affected prices throughout the nation. With ECRI’s Chinese Future Inflation Gauge correctly anticipating the earlier downturn in Chinese inflation, its latest trajectory bears watching.

Related News & Events

The 2012 Recession: Are We There Yet?

ECRI September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More

 

Recession Update

Bloomberg September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More

 

London

ECRI October 30, 2012

On October 29 and 30 ECRI principals will be visiting London to meet with professional members.