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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Sep 21 2012

QEternity and the Business Cycle

Last week, the Fed announced an aggressive plan of ongoing monetary accommodation aimed at reviving weak labor market conditions. Since then, the debate has been raging. Will QE3 “help nudge” the U.S. economy towards higher growth or is it a recipe for higher long-term inflation?

ECRI’s latest analysis of the long-run cyclical dynamics of U.S. growth and inflation alongside such unprecedented stimulus outlines clear dangers that will likely catch policymakers by surprise.

Related News & Events

The 2012 Recession: Are We There Yet?

ECRI September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More

 

Recession Update

Bloomberg September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More

 

London

ECRI October 30, 2012

On October 29 and 30 ECRI principals will be visiting London to meet with professional members.