A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

All Reports

Oct 22 2013

Prospects for U.S. Growth Revival

The recent government shutdown raised some concerns about the impact on U.S. GDP growth. On the other hand, it also brightened the prospect of the Fed “taper” being pushed off even further. Indeed, the S&P 500 hit a record high following these developments, even as the second-half rebound remained elusive.

ECRI has completed a study examining U.S. economic growth prospects, based on a wide array of leading indexes for economic growth, employment and inflation, and focusing on consumer and business demand, revealing if the hoped-for revival is real or a mirage.

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U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Remains at 20-month low

Bond Buyer October 4, 2013

U.S. inflationary pressures were unchanged in September. More