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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Mar 12 2014

Prospects for Brazilian and Canadian Exports

While Canada and Brazil differ in many significant ways, both are major primary-product exporters, reliant on global demand to support their trade-dependent resource industries. Their major trading partners differ too, with Canada trading more with the U.S. and Brazil exporting more to China, but there are collective attributes that make it possible to jointly assess exports growth prospects for both.

ECRI’s latest report presents a global indicator which predicts cyclical moves in primary products export growth for Brazil and Canada, with a clear message for its cyclical direction in the months ahead.

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Failure to Launch

ECRI February 8, 2014

As ECRI had predicted, the recent consensus that the economy was "taking off" has turned out to be dead wrong, with U.S. growth falling sharply of late. More