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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Apr 30 2013

Mexico Investors Face Cyclical Challenges

While growth in many economies has been sluggish since the Global Financial Crisis, Mexico has enjoyed relatively robust economic growth. In combination with investors’ desire for higher yields, Mexico’s comparative strength has favored it for investments. Yet recently, despite a surge in CPI inflation, the Mexican central bank cut its benchmark interest rate for the first time in four years. Are Mexican policymakers shifting their focus to growth risks? 

Based on ECRI’s array of Mexican leading indexes for economic growth, inflation and exports, we have completed an in-depth study on the Mexican economy, which is becoming more exposed to cyclical ups and downs in global economic activity. With ongoing global weakness, and with its most influential trading partner, the U.S., in a recessionary state, this report provides key insights into the key risks facing Mexico in coming quarters.

Related News & Events

Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again

ECRI April 26, 2013

Yoy nominal GDP growth at or below 3.7% has been seen only in recessionary contexts. In Q1/2013, it slipped to 3.4% from 3.5% in Q4/2012. More