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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Oct 28 2013

Key International Indicators Reveal Surprising Pattern

There is a firmly held belief that global growth is picking up – a sentiment based on some scattered economic data and rising equity prices, alongside official statements. To the latter point, in spite of optimistic-sounding rhetoric, continued worldwide monetary easing speaks to an opposing view that weakness still abounds. Which view is correct?

ECRI’s updated global leading indexes for both growth and inflation reveal underlying cyclical patterns that are in sharp contrast to the consensus view.

Related News & Events

Major Central Bank Actions in Line with ECRI

Bloomberg November 4, 2013

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss central bank actions. More

 

Becoming Japan (Part 1)

ECRI July 30, 2013

Japan’s lost decades showed faster GDP growth than in the U.S. and other major economies in the last five years. More

 

Becoming Japan (Part 2)

ECRI November 4, 2013

Inflation has already turned lower in the U.S. and the Eurozone than in Japan. More