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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Jul 16 2013

Japanese Industrial Growth Outlook

Japanese industrial growth has clearly improved this year. Yet, the weakness in the global economy, and particularly in its largest trading partner, China, raises questions regarding the sustainability of this upturn.

Ultimately, the cyclical indicators driving Japanese industrial growth will determine whether the upturn continues. Since ECRI’s Japanese Leading Manufacturing Index (JALMI) is comprised of leading indicators that anticipate cycles in Japanese industrial growth, the growth rate of the JALMI provides early warning about changes in the Japanese industrial growth outlook.

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Bloomberg Interview on Becoming Japan

Bloomberg July 30, 2013

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss our recession call, and how the U.S. economy is now resembling Japan's "lost decades." More