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Nov 20 2019

Update on Recession Risk and Rates

Even as recession fears in the markets evaporate our analysis shows that recession risks remain active.

This report includes:

- Review of the employment cycle, including an update to our Cyclical Labor Conditions Index

- Review of recent developments in market and non-market inputs to our array of leading indexes

- Cyclical analysis of Fed rate expectations

Review our recent real-time track record.

For information on our client services please contact us.

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Related News & Events

Hard Data Decelerating

ECRI November 19, 2019

Hopes of reacceleration predicated on market optimism, but little objective evidence in hard data to support that view. More


Forecast to Fact: Green Shoots in the Eurozone

ECRI November 14, 2019

Unbeknownst to virtually all, a growth rate cycle upturn was set to take hold in early summer 2019. More


Forward-Looking Data Up, ECRI Says

Bloomberg November 11, 2019

Prospects of a global industrial growth upturn. More


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