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Oct 18 2019

Update on Employment, Consumer Spending and Recession Risk

Prospects for consumer spending have shifted in the lead-up to the holiday shopping season.

This report includes:

- Analysis of the consumer spending outlook, including an update to the U.S. Leading Index of Consumer Spending

- Review of recent developments in our employment indexes

- Analysis of the Fed's recent "not-QE" announcement alongside the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge

- Update to our full array of U.S. leading indexes

Review our recent real-time track record.

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Related News & Events

Consumer Spending Growth Slowing

CNBC October 9, 2019

The downturn in consumer spending growth fits with the jobs growth slowdown. More


The U.S. Jobs Slowdown is Important

Bloomberg September 24, 2019

U.S. jobs growth, already at an 8-year low, will keep falling, undermining consumer spending. More


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