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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Sep 28 2012

What Comes Next for Global Industrial Growth?

To the surprise of many, industrial growth around the world has kept falling – a development that ECRI predicted in the early spring. However, many have been caught off-guard not only by the slowing itself, but by how widespread this weakness has been, leaving few economies untouched.

Today, hopes for the global economy hinge on a cyclical revival in industrial production. Our latest report updates our forecast for global industrial activity, and whether the current downturn will persist in coming months.

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The 2012 Recession: Are We There Yet?

ECRI September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More