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Mar 27 2014

Extrapolative Exuberance

Blithely extending recent trends, a comfortable consensus is still betting that this is the year the world’s advanced economies will finally see a synchronized surge in growth.

But are major shifts in cyclical risks in the offing – aside from potential geopolitical shocks – that are being underestimated at this juncture?

ECRI’s latest update to its international outlook, which correctly called upturns in the U.K., Japan and the Eurozone, sheds light on this important issue.

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Price Signals of Global Slack

ECRI March 14, 2014

World trade price growth has seen almost continuous deflation since early 2012, and its renewed weakness suggests even more slack in the global economy. More