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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Sep 25 2015

U.K. Home Prices: What to Expect

With interest rates at a record low, and over two million jobs created since 2009, real U.K. home prices have climbed about one-fifth since their post-Global Financial Crisis low. However, some deem the U.K. housing market one of the most vulnerable in the world, characterized by a household-debt-to-income ratio that is well above those in other developed economies.

Indeed, home prices recently rose to a record high, and amid a tight housing supply, many still believe that home price growth will stay elevated. Against this backdrop and with interest rates on track for a hike early next year, our latest European research updates our U.K. Leading Home Price Index, clarifying the outlook for this vital sector of the economy.

Related News & Events

Double-Digit Imported Deflation

ECRI September 23, 2015

Six years ago — the last time global import price deflation was this intense — the worst global recession in decades was ending. More

 

January Flashback: If not now, when?

ECRI September 16, 2015

Eight months after we asked “if not now, when?” the reality is that growth has been slowing all year. That’s a fact, not a forecast. More

 

Three Highlights from Bloomberg Interview

Bloomberg September 10, 2015

Discussing the U.S. slowdown, "full employment," and world export price deflation. More

 

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