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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Jun 27 2014

Sensitive Stability

With the markets turning unusually listless, volatility in assets and commodities remain low, even despite burgeoning geopolitical fissures. Market stability aside, nagging fears remain of a looming “black swan” event.

ECRI’s latest report provides insights into the validity of those fears from a cyclical vantage point, describing how risks are oriented in this low-volatility environment, and what to expect going forward in light of recent developments in our global industrial and inflation outlooks.

Related News & Events

Cognitive Dissonance at the Fed?

ECRI May 30, 2014

As Fed and CBO trend growth estimates fall to the Fed’s 2% recessionary stall speed, how does economy reach escape velocity? More