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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Nov 24 2014

Inflation Expectations No Longer “Well Anchored”

Market-and survey-based inflation expectations data increasingly contradict the Fed’s stance – underlined in the latest Fed minutes – that medium- and longer-term inflation expectations remain “well anchored.” In fact, those inflation expectations have not been this low since the depths of the Great Recession.

ECRI’s latest study reviews these issues in detail, providing insight into what the recently-unmoored inflation expectations mean for Fed policy.

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Interview on Global Slowdown & Japan's Recession

Al Jazeera November 19, 2014

Monitoring the U.S. Weekly Leading Index in context of Global Slowdown. More