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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Feb 23 2015

European Investment Plan Spurs Hope of Recovery

Given the devastating impact persistently weak investment can have on economic growth prospects, the European Commission has made increasing investment one of its main policy priorities. Early this month, the Commission noted that growth prospects “are still limited by a weak investment environment,” its growth having languished since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Indeed, lackluster investment, which is still 17% below its pre-GFC peak, has weighed heavily on the Eurozone recovery. What, if anything, can policy initiatives do to spur investment against a background of structurally weak global demand?

In our latest review, ECRI explores the cyclical outlook for Eurozone investment, providing critical insight into its broader economic growth prospects.

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A Bit of a Surprise?

ECRI January 13, 2015

One of 2014’s biggest surprises – falling oil prices – is completely consistent with our timely call on global growth. When made last July, that forecast was opposed to the consensus view. More