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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Jun 21 2012

Clarifying Where We are in the Business Cycle

A shiver of foreboding moved through the consensus earlier this month as the latest jobs data confirmed for the mainstream that renewed job market weakness was more than a “blip,” a realization that ECRI has been predicting for some months now.

Moving beyond the broad labor market downtrend, ECRI’s latest report presents clear cyclical patterns within the jobs data that underlay the overall move – helping to clarify where we are in the business cycle.

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Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?

ECRI May 9, 2012

Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More