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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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May 18 2012

Can the Fed Save the Day?

The optimism about the U.S. economy prevalent less than two months ago has given way to a sense of foreboding.

Almost on cue, the debate is returning to the potential for more quantitative easing by major central banks as a way of shoring things up. But is this realistic?

ECRI’s latest analysis, based on our array of cyclical indexes of growth and inflation, shows just how effective such actions are likely to be in supporting near-term growth prospects.

Related News & Events

Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?

ECRI May 9, 2012

Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More

 

Rising GDP Doesn't Rule Out Recession

CNN May 11, 2012

Yes, U.S. GDP is still rising, according to the latest reports. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a new recession. More

 

Recession Update

Bloomberg May 9, 2012

For the past three months, year-over-year real personal income growth has stayed lower than it was at the start of each of the last ten recessions. More

 

Oslo

ECRI June 4, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Oslo to meet with professional members on June 4, 2012.

 

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