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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Apr 01 2012

Can Chinese Industrial Growth Bounce Back?

ECRI has just updated its Chinese Leading Industrial Production Index (CNLIPI). The value of this forward-looking gauge lies in its ability to anticipate cyclical turns in Chinese industrial growth.

Given the current recessionary situation in much of Europe, many are looking to China as a potential investment haven. However, with recent data confirming continued weakness in Chinese industrial growth, there is growing concern among the consensus that a serious slowdown is already under way in the world’s second largest economy.

As China looks to strike a balance between the recent spike in oil prices and growing calls for policy easing, ECRI’s CNLIPI provides insight into whether the recent weakness in the Chinese economy is likely to worsen, or amount to little more than a hiccup in China’s relentless growth.

 

Related News & Events

Toronto

ECRI April 30, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on April 30, 2012.

 

The Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 22, 2012

Presentation slides and notes from Frankfurt conference about the risk of contagion, explaining why both developed and developing economies are now in the "Yo-Yo Years." More