A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Apr 30 2012

Australian Home Price Outlook

While prices in the Australian property market have, at times, surged to bubble-worthy levels in recent years, they have recently cooled off, igniting a flurry of worry over whether a crash in the housing market is imminent. ECRI’s latest report, based on its forward-looking Australian Leading Home Price Index, clarifies the cyclical direction of home prices in the months ahead.

Related Insights

The Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 1, 2012

The convergence of two cyclical patterns virtually dictates an era of more frequent recessions in developed economies. As a result, and because of the Bullwhip Effect, growth in developing economies is going to be jerked around more than people think, making for a good deal of cyclical economic contagion. In other words, we are now in the yo-yo years.


Related News & Events

WLI Growth Slips Again

Reuters April 27, 2012

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly last week. More



ECRI April 30, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on April 30, 2012.