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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

About ECRI Reports

ECRI's analysis of pivotal shifts in the business cycle allows our members a critical advantage.

Costly business and trading mistakes are made when a cyclical turning point isn't detected. By contrast, ECRI delivers accurate warning of economic and inflation cycle turning points for major developed and developing economies.

Members receive the reports listed below, which offer in-depth analysis covering 21 economies accounting for 80% of world GDP — vital information needed to decipher the complex dynamics of the global economy.

Essentials

Critical insights from the ongoing story told by the objective ECRI framework as it relates to current events, including emerging opportunities and threats.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

Focus

In-depth research on diverse topics from a unique cyclical perspective, including new research advances, major cyclical calls and urgent contemporary concerns.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

ECRI Weekly Update

On Friday mornings we call out key issues and provide brief updates to ECRI's outlook, including:

  • Advance updates of select indexes, including global aggregates and international Future Inflation Gauges

Index Pages

A crisp synopsis, including charts and data update details for ECRI's leading and coincident indexes.

  • U.S. Index Pages (includes sector coverage)
  • International Country Pages (includes country coverage)

Contact us to become a member and start receiving ECRI reports, data and advisory services.

ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

Learn More

Testimonial

For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
This approach works like a charm.
- Forbes Magazine
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
- The New York Times
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline