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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

About ECRI Reports

ECRI's analysis of pivotal shifts in the business cycle allows our members a critical advantage.

Costly business and trading mistakes are made when a cyclical turning point isn't detected. By contrast, ECRI delivers accurate warning of economic and inflation cycle turning points for major developed and developing economies.

Members receive the reports listed below, which offer in-depth analysis covering 21 economies accounting for 80% of world GDP — vital information needed to decipher the complex dynamics of the global economy.

Essentials

Critical insights from the ongoing story told by the objective ECRI framework as it relates to current events, including emerging opportunities and threats.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

Focus

In-depth research on diverse topics from a unique cyclical perspective, including new research advances, major cyclical calls and urgent contemporary concerns.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

ECRI Weekly Update

On Friday mornings we call out key issues and provide brief updates to ECRI's outlook, including:

  • Advance updates of select indexes, including global aggregates and international Future Inflation Gauges

Contact us to become a member and start receiving ECRI reports, data and advisory services.

ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

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Testimonial

No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
- The New York Times
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
- Fortune 100 Company
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline