frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

About ECRI Reports

ECRI's analysis of pivotal shifts in the business cycle allows our members a critical advantage.

Costly business and trading mistakes are made when a cyclical turning point isn't detected. By contrast, ECRI delivers accurate warning of economic and inflation cycle turning points for major developed and developing economies.

Members receive the reports listed below, which offer in-depth analysis covering 21 economies accounting for 80% of world GDP — vital information needed to decipher the complex dynamics of the global economy.

Essentials

Critical insights from the ongoing story told by the objective ECRI framework as it relates to current events, including emerging opportunities and threats.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

Focus

In-depth research on diverse topics from a unique cyclical perspective, including new research advances, major cyclical calls and urgent contemporary concerns.

  • U.S. Cyclical Outlook
  • International Cyclical Outlook

ECRI Weekly Update

On Friday mornings we call out key issues and provide brief updates to ECRI's outlook, including:

  • Advance updates of select indexes, including global aggregates and international Future Inflation Gauges

Contact us to become a member and start receiving ECRI reports, data and advisory services.

ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

Learn More

Testimonial

I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
- ECRI Professional Member
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline