News
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Jul 10 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -7.7%. More
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Jul 06 2020
Cyclical Fundamentals to the Upside
"This weekly leading index objectively in an apolitical way tells us what do all these positives and negatives. So far, so good." More
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Jul 02 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -8.7%. More
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Jun 24 2020
Biggest Risk for Markets
Interview on recession severity and the biggest risk for markets. More
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Jun 24 2020
Interview: Short Recession Call Revisited
A review of ECRI’s April 2020 public short recession call, and updated questions and answers. More
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Jun 24 2020
Yes, We're in a Recession. But the Market's Rally Still Makes Perfect Sense
With the economy officially in the deepest recession in living memory, the stock market's ongoing rally can seem baffling. More
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Jun 19 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -14.9%. More
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Jun 13 2020
Why a Ruinous Recession and Soaring Stocks Make Perfect Sense
A rising equity market historically leads an upturn in the business cycle. More
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Jun 12 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to -18.5%. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession Started in Feb., But What's Next
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss the dating of recession, and the outlook for a near-term recovery. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession and (Yes) Recovery
Interview on markets and two recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 05 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -22.1%. More
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Jun 04 2020
A Recovery Call that is Still Contrarian
History repeats itself. As ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index points to recovery, the Conference Board’s LEI and the OECD’s CLI keep falling. More
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Jun 04 2020
Two Key Recovery Scenarios and Markets
Interview on recession end, markets and the 2001-03 vs. 2009-10 recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 03 2020
Market’s Make Or Break Moment In One Chart
Drawing parallels to the opposing 2001 and 2009 recoveries. More
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May 29 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to -25.1%. More
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May 27 2020
The Stock Market and Consumer Sentiment Are Telling Different Stories
Stocks have rebounded off March lows, while sentiment is near the lowest level in nearly a decade. More
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May 22 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -28.8%. More
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May 11 2020
The Business Cycle Basics of this Recession
Understanding the depth, diffusion and duration of this downturn. More
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May 08 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -35.9%. More
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