News
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Mar 06 2019
„Wir leihen uns das Wachstum“
Der Brexit und Trumps Handelskonflikt beeinflussen die Wirtschaft deutlich weniger als gemeinhin angenommen. More
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Mar 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.2%. More
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Feb 26 2019
Trump & Xi Trade, China Outlook, Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg TV to discuss our high conviction, contrarian views, Brexit, trade tensions and the prospect of hitting Trump’s growth targets. More
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Feb 21 2019
Fed Pivot and ECRI Leading Indexes
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC's Closing Bell to discuss the Fed, ECRI’s leading indexes, and the risk of a U.S. recession. More
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Feb 19 2019
The Fed’s 'First, Do No Harm' Policy Is Harmful
Instead of pausing, the central bank may need to start cutting interest rates to avoid a recession. More
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Feb 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -4.3%. More
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Feb 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.0%. More
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Feb 06 2019
ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI
Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More
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Feb 05 2019
China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters
ECRI’s Achuthan discusses commodity price inflation and the latest Chinese industrial outlook. More
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Feb 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index fell, but its smoothed growth rate recovered to -4.3%. More
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Jan 30 2019
Cycles, the Fed & Recession Risk
ECRI's Achuthan discusses our cycle work, and how the reality of and how the Fed and recession risk. More
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Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
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Jan 26 2019
Updating Stock Price Corrections Call
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More
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Jan 25 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -5.3%. More
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Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
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Jan 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
While ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index level rose, its smoothed growth rate fell further to -6.5%. More
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Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls Again
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines further to -5.3%. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
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